Caldicot Crime Rate December 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 9,855, Caldicot recorded 72 crimes in December 2024, translating to a crime rate of 7.3 per 1,000 residents. This places the area 2.8% above the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000, a narrow margin that suggests local factors may influence crime trends. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences (25 incidents, 34.7% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (13 cases, 18.1%) and criminal damage (8 incidents, 11.1%). These figures align with seasonal patterns typical of December, when extended evenings, holiday gatherings, and reduced foot traffic in retail areas can create conditions conducive to certain offences. The relatively high proportion of violent crimes may reflect the convergence of local residents and visitors during the festive season, though can be established without further analysis. Anti-social behaviour, which was 38% above the UK average, could be influenced by the increased social interaction and potential overcrowding in public spaces during the month. Meanwhile, shoplifting (2 cases) and vehicle crime (2 cases) were both below their respective UK averages, due to the reduced retail activity and lower vehicle presence in the area during the holiday period. These patterns illustrate how local demographics and seasonal rhythms interact with broader national trends, though they remain subject to contextual interpretation.

December 2024 saw a 200% increase in drug-related crimes, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This surge, though small in absolute terms, highlights a potential shift in local drug activity patterns during the festive season. Anti-social behaviour remained elevated, with 13 cases recorded—38% above the UK average of 0.9 per 1,000. This category's dominance (18.1% of total crimes) may reflect the challenges of managing public spaces during periods of increased social activity. Conversely, burglary dropped by 50% (from 2 to 1 case), and vehicle crime fell by 50% (from 4 to 2 cases), both below their UK averages. The sharp decline in vehicle crime could be attributed to fewer cars on the road during the holiday season. Shoplifting, at 2 cases, was 65% below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, due to the reduced retail presence in Caldicot compared to larger urban centres. These fluctuations underscore the importance of contextual analysis: while some categories show marked divergence from national trends, others remain in line with broader patterns. For residents, the most immediately relevant statistic is the 200% increase in drug-related crimes, which may warrant heightened vigilance in specific areas during the festive period.

Caldicot's crime rate in December 2024 (7.3 per 1,000) was marginally higher than the previous month's rate of 7.2 per 1,000, a 1.5% increase that suggests a stable overall trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that provides a tangible sense of local crime frequency. When scaled to the population, this translates to one reported crime for every 137 residents over the course of the month—a metric that helps contextualise the impact of crime on individual households. Compared to the UK average, Caldicot's rate is only 2.8% higher, a difference that is statistically narrow and likely within the margin of error for small-area statistics. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the area is not significantly more or less safe than the national average, certain crime categories deviate markedly. For instance, anti-social behaviour and criminal damage are both substantially above UK norms, whereas shoplifting and vehicle crime are below. These discrepancies suggest that local factors—such as the built-up area's specific layout or community dynamics—play a role in shaping crime patterns. Residents may find the 1-in-137 monthly exposure figure useful for understanding the relative risk they face, though this is an aggregate measure and does not reflect individual experiences.