Caldicot Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Caldicot's crime rate in January 2025 stood at 5.5 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 22.5% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This continues a pattern of lower-than-average crime levels for the built-up area within Monmouthshire, a region historically characterised by rural-adjacent communities and limited urban density. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 42.6% of all reported crimes, making them the most common category, though their rate (2.3 per 1,000) was 8% below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour followed with 13.0% of total incidents, a figure that was 29% below the national average. The seasonal context of January, marked by post-holiday reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, likely contributed to the lower overall crime rate, particularly in outdoor and commercial sectors. While property crimes (15 total) made up 27.8% of incidents, the violent crime share (42.6%) suggests a persistent focus on interpersonal conflicts within the community. The area's low crime profile may be influenced by its location, with Monmouthshire's rural surroundings potentially reducing opportunities for large-scale criminal activity. However, the 200% increase in burglary compared to December raises questions about specific vulnerabilities in residential properties, a shift that requires further contextual analysis.

The most striking month-on-month change was the 200% increase in burglary, with incidents rising from 1 to 3 in January 2025. This surge contrasts sharply with a 57.1% decrease in other theft, which fell from 7 to 3, suggesting shifting patterns in criminal activity. Bicycle theft also saw a 100% increase, rising from 0 to 1, a figure that may reflect seasonal factors or targeted opportunities in the built-up area. Violent crime remained the most common category, accounting for 42.6% of all incidents, though its rate (2.3 per 1,000) was 8% below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, which dropped by 46.2% from 13 to 7, and shoplifting, which fell by 50.0% from 2 to 1, both show reductions that may align with the post-holiday lull in retail footfall. Meanwhile, possession of weapons saw a 233% increase above the UK average, a rare outlier that highlights specific concerns within the area's crime profile.

Caldicot's overall crime rate in January 2025 (5.5 per 1,000 residents) marks a 25.0% decrease from the previous month's 7.3 per 1,000, reflecting a sustained trend of lower-than-average crime levels. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 2 crimes per day across January, a figure that contextualises the monthly total of 54 crimes in a way that highlights the relatively low frequency of incidents for residents. When viewed through a population lens, the monthly exposure to crime was 1 reported crime for every 183 residents, a statistic that underscores the area's comparative safety. This 22.5% gap below the UK average (7.1 per 1,000) remains consistent with Caldicot's historical position as a low-crime built-up area within Monmouthshire, where seasonal factors like reduced retail activity during January likely contribute to the lower crime profile. The drop in violent crime rates, despite the 200% increase in burglary, suggests that broader social or environmental factors are influencing the area's crime dynamics.