Caldicot Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Caldicot's overall crime rate in February 2025 stood at 6.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 3.0% below the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000. This figure reflects a combination of seasonal patterns and local dynamics. The area’s crime profile was dominated by violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 39.1% of all reported crimes, followed closely by anti-social behaviour and public order offences (14.1% each). While the overall rate remains lower than the national average, the distribution of crime types reveals notable deviations. Violence and sexual offences in Caldicot were 6% above the UK average, a figure that may partly explain the relatively high proportion of violent crimes compared to other areas. Public order offences, however, were 105% above the UK average, a stark contrast to the national trend and one that could be linked to local factors such as community gatherings or events. The seasonal context of February—typically a low point for outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may have contributed to the lower overall crime rate, though the persistence of violent and public order crimes suggests that these issues are not entirely seasonal. The absence of significant spikes in property crimes, such as vehicle crime or burglary, indicates that the area’s crime profile remains relatively stable, with no major shifts in the balance between violent and non-violent offences. This pattern is consistent with Caldicot’s character as a built-up area within Monmouthshire, where urban and rural elements coexist, and local community engagement may play a role in mitigating certain types of crime.

February 2025 saw dramatic shifts in Caldicot’s crime profile, with shoplifting surging by 200% compared to January, jumping from one to three incidents. This spike aligns with the pre-spring lull, as retail activity may have increased ahead of the Easter period, potentially drawing attention to local stores. Other theft also rose sharply by 166.7%, from three to eight cases, suggesting a broader trend in property-related crimes. Drugs-related offences doubled from zero to two incidents, a significant increase that may reflect changes in local patterns or reporting practices. In contrast, vehicle crime fell by 50%, dropping from two to one, a decline that could be attributed to reduced outdoor activity during winter or improved security measures. The breakdown of crime types reveals a marked contrast with UK averages: public order offences in Caldicot were 105% above the national average, while shoplifting was 52% below. This divergence underscores the unique challenges faced by the area, particularly in managing public order issues. For residents, the 200% increase in shoplifting highlights the need for vigilance in local retail areas, a figure that stands out as the most significant change in the month’s data.

Caldicot’s crime rate in February 2025 rose by 18.4% compared to the previous month, increasing from 5.5 to 6.5 per 1,000 residents. This upward trend, though modest, suggests a shift in local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of two crimes per day over the 28-day period, a figure that, while low, may feel more pronounced in a small built-up area like Caldicot. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 154 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places the area slightly below the UK average but highlights the personal impact of crime on local communities. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Caldicot’s 9,855 residents are subject to a crime rate that is still below the national average, yet the month-on-month increase indicates a potential rise in local tensions or environmental factors. While the overall rate remains lower than the UK average, the sharp rise in specific categories—such as public order offences—suggests that targeted interventions may be necessary to address emerging issues. For residents, the comparison to the previous month underscores the importance of monitoring local crime trends, as even small increases can have measurable effects on community safety and perception.