Caldicot Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In July 2025, Caldicot's crime profile reveals a striking dominance of violent crime over property crime, a pattern that may reflect seasonal dynamics in this built-up area of Monmouthshire. The overall crime rate stood at 8.6 per 1,000 residents, exactly matching the UK average. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 40% of all recorded crimes, with 34 incidents reported—significantly above the UK average of 3.0 per 1,000 for this category. Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 23.5% of the total, also exceeding the national benchmark by 29%. These figures suggest a sharp contrast to property crimes, which made up just 17 of the 85 total incidents. The seasonal context of July—peak summer, school holidays, and tourist activity—likely contributes to this imbalance. With tourism being a key economic driver in this rural-urban hybrid area, the influx of visitors may amplify incidents of anti-social behaviour and public order disturbances, particularly in the town centre and along popular walking routes. Meanwhile, property crime remains relatively low, consistent with the area's lower density and limited retail presence compared to larger urban centres. The data aligns with patterns observed in similar small towns where transient populations and seasonal events can temporarily elevate violent and disorderly crime rates. This month's statistics offer a snapshot of how local rhythms intersect with broader national trends, highlighting the need for targeted community engagement during peak tourist periods.

July 2025 saw a dramatic 300% increase in shoplifting, with four incidents reported compared to one in June. This surge, coupled with a 100% rise in bicycle theft and possession of weapons, points to specific vulnerabilities in Caldicot's retail and outdoor spaces. The shift in crime mix is stark: violent crimes (34 incidents) outnumber property crimes (17 incidents) by more than double, a reversal of the previous month's balance. Violence and sexual offences, which constitute 40% of all crimes, are 15% above the UK average for this category—a discrepancy that may reflect the area's summer tourism season, when transient populations can strain local resources and increase opportunities for certain types of crime. Anti-social behaviour also exceeds the UK average by 29%, with 20 incidents recorded. This category's prominence suggests challenges in managing public spaces during the summer months. Conversely, shoplifting's sharp increase contrasts with its 38% below the UK average for the same category, indicating a unique local factor—possibly linked to the timing of festivals or events that attract temporary visitors. The data also reveals a 75% drop in 'other crime' and a 66.7% decrease in 'other theft' compared to June, though these categories' low base figures mean their impact on the overall picture is limited.

Caldicot's crime rate in July 2025 rose 30.8% compared to June's 6.6 per 1,000, marking a notable upward trend despite remaining exactly at the UK average. This increase translates to roughly 3 crimes per day in the built-up area, a figure that may feel more pronounced in a community of 9,855 residents where local police resources are limited. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 116 residents—a monthly exposure rate that, while modest, underscores the concentrated nature of incidents in specific locations. The population context is crucial: with Caldicot's small size and rural-urban blend, even a single incident can have a visible impact on community perceptions of safety. This month's figures also highlight disparities in crime distribution: while violent crimes are slightly above the UK average, property crimes like burglary and shoplifting are below national levels. This contrast may reflect the area's lower density and limited commercial activity compared to larger towns. The daily crime count of 3 per day, though low, aligns with the seasonal influx of tourists and the associated challenges in managing public order. These numbers, when viewed through the lens of Caldicot's specific demographics and geography, offer a nuanced picture of how local conditions shape crime patterns even as they align with broader national trends.