Caldicot Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Caldicot’s crime profile in June 2025, accounting for 38.5% of all reported incidents—nearly 40% of the total. This marked shift from property crime, which comprised just 20% of the total, underscores a significant seasonal and demographic influence on local crime patterns. The area’s crime rate of 6.6 per 1,000 residents, 18.5% below the UK average, reflects a broader trend of lower overall criminal activity in rural-urban hybrid communities like Caldicot. The dominance of violent crime, particularly in the context of the summer season, may be influenced by factors such as increased social interactions, longer daylight hours, and the influx of visitors to Monmouthshire’s rural areas. Violence and sexual offences, at 2.5 per 1,000 residents, were 13% below the UK average for this category, suggesting that while violent crime is a growing concern, it remains comparatively contained. Anti-social behaviour.5 per 1,000 residents, exceeded its UK average by 6%, potentially linked to the increased foot traffic in public spaces during warmer weather. Meanwhile, property crime rates—particularly vehicle crime and shoplifting—fell sharply, with shoplifting dropping by 84% compared to the previous month. This decline may be attributed to the predictable nature of foot traffic in commercial areas during the summer, reducing opportunities for opportunistic theft. The data also highlights a stark contrast between Caldicot’s crime profile and the UK average, with categories like drugs and burglary falling well below national benchmarks. These patterns suggest that local factors, such as strong community engagement and the area’s rural-urban character, may contribute to its relatively low crime rates, even as specific categories like violent crime and anti-social behaviour show upward trends.

June 2025 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories, with burglary, drugs, and 'other crime' each increasing by 100% compared to the previous month. This surge in these categories, though small in absolute terms, may reflect seasonal shifts or localized incidents. Conversely, vehicle crime, shoplifting, and other theft all decreased sharply—by 75%, 66.7%, and 62.5% respectively—suggesting a possible reduction in opportunistic theft linked to summer activities. The balance between property and violent crime also shifted, with violent crime (25 incidents) outpacing property crime (13) for the first time in recent months. Anti-social behaviour (15 cases) exceeded its UK average by 6%, a figure that could indicate pressures from summer social gatherings or increased foot traffic in public spaces. Residents may find the 84% drop in shoplifting, from 3 to 1 incident, particularly relevant, as it suggests a marked decline in retail-related theft during the early summer period. The rise in 'other crime' to four incidents—triple the previous month—raises questions about unclassified or underreported activities, though the exact nature of these incidents remains unspecified. These trends highlight a combination of seasonal factors, local demographics, and the built environment in shaping crime patterns.

Caldicot’s crime rate in June 2025 fell by 26.9% compared to the previous month, dropping from 9.0 to 6.6 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with the start of summer, when tourism in Monmouthshire typically shifts from rural visitor activity to more dispersed patterns. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately two reported crimes per day in June, a figure that, while low, remains consistent with the built-up area’s character. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for every 152 residents, a ratio that suggests a relatively safe environment compared to the UK average. This monthly exposure rate is particularly notable given Caldicot’s small population of 9,855, where even a modest number of crimes can be felt acutely by residents. The population-scaled perspective also highlights that the area’s crime rate is 18.5% below the UK average, reinforcing its status as a lower-risk location within the region. These statistics, when viewed alongside the seasonal context, suggest that Caldicot’s crime profile is shaped by its rural-urban hybrid nature, where localized factors like community cohesion may play a role in sustaining low rates. The relatively low property crime figures, such as vehicle crime and shoplifting, could reflect reduced opportunistic theft during summer, when foot traffic in commercial areas may be more predictable. However, the slight increase in anti-social behaviour may indicate pressures from increased social interactions during warmer weather.