Undy and Magor Crime Rate February 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile in Undy and Magor during February 2024, making up 45.8% of all reported crimes. This category, at 1.8 per 1,000 residents, remains 28% below the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000, despite its prominence in local figures. The overall crime rate for the area was 4.0 per 1,000 residents, placing it 43.7% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. Other theft and anti-social behaviour followed as the next most common offences, accounting for 16.7% and 12.5% of total crimes respectively. This stark contrast with the UK average for property crimes—where other theft is 27% above the national rate—suggests local factors may influence crime patterns. February’s low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull likely contributed to the subdued overall rate, though the concentration of violent offences raises questions about seasonal or situational dynamics. The area’s built-up nature, combined with its location within Monmouthshire, may mean that localised social interactions and community structures play a role in shaping these statistics. While the rate of anti-social behaviour is 52% below the UK average, the surge in violent offences highlights a need for contextual analysis of local conditions.

February 2024 saw a dramatic 175% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from four to 11 incidents. This spike was accompanied by a 100% rise in shoplifting and other crime, both of which had previously been absent in the month. Conversely, criminal damage and arson fell by 66.7%, while other theft and public order offences each declined by 66.7% and 33.3% respectively. The shift in crime mix was notable: violent offences accounted for 45.8% of all crimes, compared to property crimes at 25%, reversing the usual UK trend where property crimes typically dominate. Other theft, at 0.7 per 1,000 residents, was 27% above the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, indicating a localised issue that may be linked to specific retail or residential patterns. Meanwhile, other crime—such as unclassified or less common offences—was 114% above the UK average, suggesting either underreporting in other areas or unique local circumstances. These fluctuations underscore the need for targeted analysis of community-specific factors influencing crime trends.

February 2024’s crime rate of 4.0 per 1,000 residents marked a 14.3% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.6 per 1,000. This downward trend aligns with the typically lower crime activity seen in winter months, though the concentration of violent offences complicates this pattern. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day over the 29-day period, a figure that, while low, reflects the small population of 6,071 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 253 residents—a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average, which would be far higher given the national rate of 7.1 per 1,000. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the area’s crime rate is exceptionally low relative to its size, yet the disproportionate share of violent offences suggests that localised factors may be at play. This contrast between overall safety and the prominence of violent crime highlights the need for further analysis of community-specific dynamics, such as social interactions or environmental conditions, that could influence such trends.