Undy and Magor Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2024, Undy and Magor recorded a crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents, 37.8% below the UK average of 7.4. This figure, while showing a 33.2% increase from the previous month, remains indicative of a relatively safe built-up area within Monmouthshire. The crime profile reveals a clear dominance of property-related offences, which accounted for 57.1% of all reported crimes. Other theft alone made up 42.9% of the total, far outpacing the 14.3% share of violent crimes and the 10.7% each for anti-social behaviour and criminal damage. This imbalance may be linked to the area’s character as a low-density, possibly rural-adjacent community where property crime is more prevalent than violent crime. Seasonal factors in January—such as post-holiday periods and reduced retail footfall—likely contribute to the lower frequency of theft from the person but may not fully explain the sharp rise in other theft. The UK average for other theft is 0.6 per 1,000, yet the area’s rate of 2.0 per 1,000 is 251% higher, a discrepancy that could reflect local vulnerabilities such as unsecured premises or high-value items in residential areas. Conversely, violent crime in the area is 73% below the UK average, a statistic that may align with the area’s demographic profile or the effectiveness of local crime prevention initiatives. The seasonal context of January—shorter days, colder weather, and reduced outdoor activity—may have limited opportunities for certain crimes, though the surge in other theft suggests that other factors, such as targeted criminal activity or changes in local patterns, are at play. This data underscores the need for further analysis of why property crime remains the dominant category, even as the area continues to perform below national averages in overall crime rates.

The most striking shift in January 2024 was the 300% increase in other theft, which rose from three incidents in December to 12. This surge, though unexplained by the data, highlights a potential vulnerability in local security measures or targeted criminal activity. Meanwhile, violent crimes fell by 63.6%, dropping from 11 to 4, a decline that may reflect seasonal trends such as reduced social gatherings during colder months. The property crime-to-violent crime ratio of 4:1 underscores a stark imbalance, with property-related offences dominating the local crime picture. Other theft in the area is 251% above the UK average, a figure that suggests local conditions—such as high-value assets or limited surveillance—could be contributing to this disparity. In contrast, violence and sexual offences in the area are 73% below the UK average, a statistic that may indicate effective community policing or demographic factors such as a lower proportion of high-risk age groups.

In January 2024, the crime rate in Undy and Magor rose by 33.2% compared to the previous month, moving from 3.5 to 4.6 crimes per 1,000 residents. This increase, though notable, still places the area well below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may feel low to some residents but reflects the area’s overall safety profile. When scaled to the population of 6,071, the monthly exposure rate of one reported crime for every 217 residents provides context for local risk levels. This statistic, while abstract, helps residents gauge the likelihood of encountering crime in their daily lives. The area’s relatively low crime rate persists despite the month-on-month increase, suggesting that underlying factors such as community cohesion, local policing, or seasonal patterns may be playing a role. However, the rise in specific crime types—particularly other theft—deserves closer attention to local conditions that could be driving these changes.