Baglan Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2023, Baglan recorded a crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 25.3% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure, though modest, reflects the area’s ongoing efforts to manage crime within its built-up environment. The most prevalent category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 54.3% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (15.7%) and criminal damage and arson (11.4%). The dominance of violent crime may be influenced by seasonal factors such as darker evenings and the timing of events like Bonfire Night, which can heighten tensions in community spaces. Conversely, other theft and public order offences were lower than the UK average, with other theft at 52% below and public order at 43% below. This divergence could be attributed to local initiatives, community cohesion, or the area’s character as a smaller, more tightly knit built-up area within Neath Port Talbot. The month’s context—marked by Black Friday shopping and the transition into winter—may have also played a role in shaping crime patterns, with increased foot traffic contributing to some categories while others remained subdued. Overall, the data illustrates a combination of local conditions and national trends, with Baglan’s crime profile demonstrating both similarities to and differences from the broader UK context.

November 2023 saw a dramatic 100% increase in drug-related crimes, with the count rising from 1 to 2. This surge, while small in absolute terms, highlights a potential shift in local patterns that could warrant further scrutiny. Concurrently, violence and sexual offences rose by 18.8%, increasing from 32 to 38 incidents. This category, which accounted for 54.3% of all crimes in the month, was 16% above the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000, a stark contrast to other categories such as other theft, which was 52% below the UK average. Meanwhile, public order offences dropped by 60% (from 10 to 4), and anti-social behaviour fell by 26.7% (from 15 to 11), suggesting possible seasonal or situational factors at play. These fluctuations, particularly the drug-related increase, may reflect localised changes in activity or enforcement priorities.

Baglan’s November 2023 crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 residents marked an 11.4% decrease from the previous month’s 6.3 per 1,000, reflecting a modest but consistent trend of reduced crime. On a daily basis, the area saw approximately 2 crimes reported each day, a figure that aligns with the built-up nature of the area and its population density. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 179 residents, a statistic that contextualises the scale of crime in a way that is relatable to residents. This monthly exposure rate is lower than the UK average, which is not provided here, but the 25.3% gap between Baglan’s rate and the UK’s 7.5 per 1,000 underscores the area’s relative safety. The population of 12,497 further highlights how localised factors—such as community initiatives or demographic shifts—can shape crime patterns distinct from national averages.