Baglan Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Baglan’s crime profile in October 2023 reveals a striking emphasis on violence and public order issues, diverging from the UK average’s broader distribution of crime types. With a crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents—21.3% below the UK average of 8.0—the area maintains a relatively low overall level of crime. However, the nature of crime here is distinct: violence and sexual offences (40.5% of total crimes) and anti-social behaviour (19.0%) dominate, while property crimes collectively account for just 26.1%. This imbalance may be influenced by the area’s character as a built-up part of Neath Port Talbot, where community dynamics and local infrastructure could contribute to higher rates of interpersonal conflict and public disorder. The seasonal context of October, with darker evenings and the transition to winter, may have amplified tensions in public spaces, explaining the rise in anti-social behaviour and public order offences. Violence and sexual offences, though 4% below the UK average, remain the most prevalent category, suggesting a need for targeted interventions in areas where such crimes are concentrated. The relatively low incidence of burglary and vehicle crime—both 71% and 81% below UK averages, respectively—could reflect the area’s smaller scale and lower density compared to larger urban centres, where such crimes are more common. This mix of crime types, coupled with the seasonal backdrop, offers a nuanced picture of Baglan’s crime profile in October 2023.

October 2023 saw sharp increases in criminal damage and arson, which rose by 150% from four to ten incidents, a category that is 36% above the UK average. Vehicle crime also jumped by 100%, with one reported incident compared to zero in September, a category that is 81% below the UK average. Theft from the person doubled to two incidents, a category that is 33% above the UK average. Meanwhile, drug-related crimes fell by two-thirds, from three to one, and other crime dropped by half. The crime mix reveals a significant imbalance: violent crimes (40.5%) and anti-social behaviour (19.0%) dominate, contrasting with the UK average’s stronger focus on property crimes. This shift may partly explain the area’s unique profile, where public order and violence concerns outweigh other categories. A resident might find the 12.7% share of public order offences particularly noteworthy, as this is the highest proportion in the area’s recent monthly data. The rise in criminal damage and arson, coupled with the sharp drop in drug-related crimes, suggests potential seasonal or localized factors influencing crime trends during this period.

Baglan’s crime rate in October 2023 rose to 6.3 per 1,000 residents, a 19.7% increase from 5.3 in September. This monthly aggregate translates to roughly three crimes reported per day, a figure that situates the area within a manageable daily context for residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 158 residents, a statistic that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents relative to the population size of 12,497. While the overall rate remains 21.3% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, the distribution of crime types reveals a unique local pattern. The population context—Baglan’s built-up area within Neath Port Talbot—suggests that the scale of crime, though modest, is influenced by factors such as local demographics and community dynamics. The daily crime count and monthly exposure figures provide a practical lens through which residents can gauge the likelihood of encountering crime, offering a sense of proportionality that aligns with the area’s broader trend of maintaining a crime profile significantly below national averages.