Baglan Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Baglan’s September 2023 crime rate of 5.3 per 1,000 residents places it 33.8% below the UK average of 8.0, a stark contrast to the national picture where violent crime and property theft dominate. The area’s crime profile is shaped by a mix of violent and non-violent offences, with violence and sexual offences accounting for 37.9% of all reported crimes. This category’s rate of 2.0 per 1,000 is 27% below the UK average, a trend consistent with Baglan’s broader underperformance in violent crime. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common category, contributes 21.2% of total crimes at 1.1 per 1,000, 18% below the UK average. However, public order offences—though less frequent—stand at 0.8 per 1,000, 29% above the national rate, suggesting localized pressures that may relate to community dynamics or seasonal factors. September’s context—marked by the return of students to educational institutions and the transition into darker evenings—may partly explain the fluctuations in anti-social behaviour and drug-related incidents. The relatively low crime rate aligns with Baglan’s status as a built-up area within Neath Port Talbot, where community-focused initiatives or infrastructure may reduce opportunities for crime. Yet the disparity in public order offences hints at challenges in managing social interactions during periods of increased activity, such as those linked to back-to-school routines. This month’s data reinforces Baglan’s position as an area with lower overall crime but specific vulnerabilities that warrant attention.

September 2023 brought notable shifts in crime patterns, with anti-social behaviour surging by 40% (10 → 14) and drug-related incidents tripling (1 → 3). These increases may reflect seasonal factors, such as the influx of students returning to local educational institutions, which could contribute to heightened social activity and associated risks. Conversely, shoplifting fell sharply by 66.7% (3 → 1), linked to reduced foot traffic as the month progressed and evenings grew darker. The area’s violent crime rate of 2.0 per 1,000—27% below the UK average—remains a standout feature, though public order offences rose 29% above the national average. This divergence highlights the complexity of local dynamics, where high levels of community policing or targeted interventions may suppress violent crime while leaving space for other categories to fluctuate. A resident would find the 33.8% gap between Baglan’s rate and the UK average particularly relevant, as it underscores the area’s relative safety in key categories.

Baglan’s September 2023 crime rate of 5.3 per 1,000 residents marks a 12.0% decline from August’s 6.0 per 1,000, reflecting a continued trend of lower-than-UK-average crime. This places the area 33.8% below the national average of 8.0, a gap that has likely widened due to consistent underperformance in violent crime and property offences. Locally, the average resident faces a 1-in-189 chance of being involved in a reported crime over the course of the month, a figure that translates to roughly 2 crimes per day across Baglan’s 12,497 population. While daily crime counts remain low, the monthly exposure statistic highlights the rarity of incidents, offering reassurance to residents. The population-scaled perspective further contextualises this: for every 1,000 residents, the area experiences fewer than half the UK average in violent crime and property theft. This contrast with national trends may be partly explained by local factors such as community engagement or infrastructure that reduces opportunities for crime.