Baglan Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

November 2024 marked a continuation of Baglan’s historically low crime rates, with an overall rate of 4.9 per 1,000 residents—35.5% below the UK average of 7.6. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 44.3% of all crimes, reflecting a persistent challenge in this category. However, the rate of 2.2 per 1,000 for violent crime was 15% below the UK average, a figure that may be influenced by the area’s built-up nature and limited nightlife compared to larger urban centres. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.7 per 1,000, was 37% below the UK average, suggesting effective community engagement or policing strategies. Seasonal factors, including the onset of dark evenings and events like Bonfire Night, may have contributed to a slight uptick in certain crimes. The low incidence of shoplifting (86% below the UK average) aligns with Baglan’s smaller retail footprint, while the sharp rise in other theft and vehicle crime highlights emerging concerns. These patterns, when considered alongside the area’s demographic and geographic context, indicate a combination of localised factors and broader national trends.

November 2024 saw a sharp 150% increase in other theft, rising from 2 to 5 incidents. This jump, coupled with 100% rises in both drugs (from 0 to 2) and vehicle crime (from 0 to 5), marks a notable shift in the crime profile. While violent crime remained the most common category (44.3% of total), its rate of 2.2 per 1,000 was 15% below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.7 per 1,000, was 37% below the UK average, a stark contrast to the 1.1 per 1,000 national figure. Meanwhile, burglary fell by 50% (from 2 to 1), and public order offences dropped by 33.3% (from 3 to 2), suggesting possible seasonal or localised factors at play. The 86% reduction in shoplifting compared to the UK average highlights Baglan’s relatively low incidence of retail-related crime, which may be attributed to its built-up area status and limited high-street retail presence.

Baglan’s crime rate in November 2024 remained stable compared to the previous month, rising just 1.7% from 4.8 to 4.9 per 1,000 residents. This minor fluctuation underscores the area’s consistent performance relative to national trends. Locally, the monthly total of 61 crimes translates to roughly two crimes per day, a figure that, while not negligible, reflects a generally low level of criminal activity for a built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 205 residents, highlighting the relatively low exposure compared to larger urban centres. This monthly exposure rate, when considered alongside the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000, illustrates Baglan’s position as a safer area within the broader context of Welsh and UK crime statistics. The stability in overall rates, despite spikes in specific categories, suggests that local factors—such as community policing or seasonal dynamics—may be mitigating broader national trends.