Baglan Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Baglan’s crime rate in September 2024 stood at 4.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 40.3% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This performance contrasts sharply with national trends, particularly in categories such as violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 48.3% of all recorded crimes. Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 13.8%, while criminal damage and arson made up 12.1%. These figures suggest a distinct pattern in local crime dynamics, with interpersonal disputes and property-related incidents dominating the landscape. The seasonal context of September—marked by the return to school and university freshers—may contribute to this profile, as increased social activity in the area could heighten tensions and opportunities for certain types of crime. Violence and sexual offences in Baglan (2.2 per 1,000) were 16% below the UK average, while anti-social behaviour was 49% below. However, criminal damage and arson (0.6 per 1,000) slightly exceeded the UK average by 7%. The area’s built-up character within Neath Port Talbot likely influences these patterns, with limited retail and social hubs driving lower rates of theft from the person compared to more densely populated urban centres. The interplay between local demographics and seasonal transitions appears to shape the crime picture, though further analysis would be needed to confirm causal links.

September 2024 saw notable shifts in crime trends within Baglan. Violence and sexual offences increased by 27.3% compared to August, rising from 22 to 28 incidents. This uptick may reflect the return of students and the start of the academic year, which often coincides with heightened social activity in built-up areas. Conversely, other theft plummeted by 71.4% (from 7 to 2 incidents), suggesting a possible reduction in opportunistic crimes during the month. Burglary also decreased sharply by 66.7%, with only one reported incident compared to three in August. Anti-social behaviour dropped by half, from 16 to 8 incidents, though this may be influenced by seasonal factors such as shorter evenings and the transition from summer to autumn. In contrast, criminal damage and arson rose by 40%, with seven incidents recorded—up from five in August. This increase could be linked to local events or increased vandalism during the early autumn months. Vehicle crime also climbed by 25%, though it remained below the UK average. The breakdown reveals that while Baglan’s overall crime rate is significantly lower than the national average, certain categories like violence and sexual offences remain a focus for local authorities. These fluctuations underscore the need for targeted interventions in high-risk areas and during periods of increased social activity.

Baglan’s crime rate in September 2024 (4.6 per 1,000) marked a 19.4% decline from August’s rate of 5.8 per 1,000, reflecting a sustained downward trend. When contextualised daily, the area experienced an average of two crimes per day over the 30-day period, a figure that, while low, highlights the persistent presence of criminal activity in a built-up area. On a monthly basis, the rate translates to one reported crime for every 215 residents—a statistic that, while modest, underscores the direct impact on local communities. When compared to the UK average, Baglan’s overall performance is striking: its crime rate is 40.3% below the national figure, a gap that is particularly evident in categories such as anti-social behaviour (49% below the UK average) and other theft (62% below). However, the area’s slightly higher rate of criminal damage and arson (7% above the UK average) suggests vulnerabilities in property-related crime prevention. The population context of 12,497 residents further illustrates that even small absolute numbers can represent significant proportions in smaller communities. This comparison reveals that Baglan’s relative safety is a notable achievement, though it also highlights areas where targeted efforts could further reduce disparities. The interplay between local governance, community engagement, and seasonal factors will be critical in maintaining this trend.