Cwmavon Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Cwmavon's July 2025 crime profile reveals a stark contrast between violent and property crime, with the former dominating at 7 incidents compared to 3 for property offences. This imbalance, which places violent crime at 30.4% of total reported incidents, marks a departure from the UK average where violent crime constitutes 54% of all crimes. The area's overall crime rate of 4.5 per 1,000 residents is 47.7% below the UK average of 8.6 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently safer environment compared to national trends. Seasonal factors likely influence these patterns: July, a peak summer month with schools closed and festivals in progress, may have driven increased social interactions that correlate with higher violent crime rates. However, property crime remained exceptionally low, with anti-social behaviour (5 incidents) and public order offences (5 incidents) emerging as the next most common categories. Anti-social behaviour in Cwmavon is 35% below the UK average, suggesting strong community engagement or effective local policing strategies. The absence of significant spikes in burglary or vehicle crime—both of which are 49% and 34% below UK averages, respectively—further reinforces the area's low-level crime environment. While the dominance of violent crime may raise concerns, the overall context of a crime rate nearly half the UK average indicates that Cwmavon remains a relatively secure built-up area. The seasonal context of July, with its festivals and outdoor events, may have contributed to the elevated violent crime figures, though this remains a hedged interpretation given the lack of direct causal data. This pattern invites further analysis of how summer-specific activities interact with local crime dynamics, particularly in relation to public order and anti-social behaviour.

July 2025 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with violent crimes (7 incidents) outnumbering property crimes (3) by more than double. This imbalance contrasts with the UK average, where violent crime accounts for 54% of all reported incidents. The most significant month-on-month increase was in criminal damage and arson, which doubled from 1 to 2 cases—a 100% rise. This spike may be linked to summer festivals or increased outdoor activity in the area. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 50% (from 2 to 1), potentially reflecting reduced car usage during school holidays. Anti-social behaviour also dropped by 37.5%, from 8 to 5 incidents, though public order offences rose slightly above the UK average (1.0 per 1,000 compared to 0.6 per 1,000 nationally). For residents, the 100% increase in drug-related crimes—now at 2 incidents—signals a need for awareness around local community events and their potential impact on crime dynamics.

Cwmavon's crime rate in July 2025 (4.5 per 1,000 residents) represents a 7.9% decline from the previous month's rate of 4.9 per 1,000. This downward trend aligns with broader seasonal patterns, as summer months often see reduced property crime due to increased community engagement and outdoor activities. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day during July, a figure that, while low, reflects the area's consistently lower crime profile compared to the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 221 residents, underscoring the relatively low exposure to crime in this built-up area. When contextualised against the local population of 5,094, this statistic highlights that the vast majority of residents remain unaffected by criminal activity. The combination of a stable population and limited seasonal spikes in property crime suggests that local factors—such as community cohesion and routine social patterns—play a significant role in maintaining this low-level crime environment.