Caerleon Crime Rate December 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Caerleon’s crime profile in December 2024, accounting for nearly a third of all reported incidents. This category, which recorded 11 cases, remains significantly below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000 residents, with the local rate at 1.4 per 1,000—a 45% deficit. The prominence of violent crime in this built-up area within Newport may be influenced by its proximity to the town centre, where transient populations and seasonal events could contribute to higher incidents during the festive period. However, the overall crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents in December was 35.2% below the UK average, a figure that highlights the area’s relatively low crime environment despite the dominance of one category. The seasonal context of December—characterised by extended evenings, reduced visibility, and the holiday shopping peak—may have created conditions conducive to certain crimes while simultaneously deterring others. For instance, the significant drop in violence and sexual offences compared to November could reflect the closure of late-night venues and the movement of residents away from the area during the Christmas period. Conversely, the sharp rise in vehicle crime, which jumped by 200% to three incidents, may be attributed to the increased presence of vehicles in residential areas during the holiday season or the temporary absence of local residents who travel elsewhere. The breakdown of crimes also reveals a mix of local and national trends: while anti-social behaviour and burglary remained below UK averages, criminal damage and arson exceeded the national rate by 70%, suggesting that specific local factors—such as the number of vacant properties or the presence of industrial sites—may be contributing to this anomaly. The overall picture illustrates a combination of national crime patterns and local conditions, with December’s crime profile reflecting both the challenges and the strengths of Caerleon’s built-up environment.

December 2024 saw a stark contrast in crime trends compared to November, with several categories experiencing dramatic shifts. Vehicle crime surged by 200%, rising from one incident to three, a jump that may reflect increased holiday travel or unsecured vehicles during the festive season. This increase stands in sharp contrast to the 68.6% decrease in violence and sexual offences, which dropped from 35 to 11 incidents—a reduction that could be linked to the seasonal lull in nightlife activity and the closure of certain venues over the Christmas period. Criminal damage and arson in Caerleon was 70% above the UK average, with seven incidents reported compared to the national rate of 0.5 per 1,000. This anomaly may be tied to the area’s proximity to industrial zones or the presence of vacant properties during the holiday season, which could increase the risk of such offences. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 40%, from 10 to six incidents, due to heightened community vigilance or the temporary absence of students and workers during the holiday period.

Caerleon's December 2024 crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents marks a 38.3% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 7.5 per 1,000. This decline suggests a possible seasonal shift, with fewer incidents reported during the festive period compared to November’s more active crime environment. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one crime per day over the month, a figure that, while low, reflects the concentrated nature of reported incidents. When scaled to the population of 7,996, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 216 residents, a ratio that highlights the relatively low frequency of crime in this built-up area. This contrasts with the UK average, where residents face a higher monthly exposure. The population-scaled perspective underscores that, despite the absolute number of crimes being small, the local context—such as the proximity to Newport’s urban core and seasonal activity patterns—may influence the distribution of incidents. The decline from November aligns with typical December trends, where reduced foot traffic and holiday closures could contribute to lower opportunities for certain crimes.