Caerleon Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Caerleon's November 2024 crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 residents places it 1.3% below the UK average, a narrow margin that underscores the area's relative safety compared to national trends. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences, accounting for 58.3% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (16.7%) and criminal damage and arson (8.3%). This pattern aligns with seasonal factors: the month of November in Caerleon, like many urban areas, experiences heightened tensions during late-night hours, possibly linked to the proximity of Bonfire Night and the start of Black Friday shopping. The high rate of violent offences, 71% above the UK average, may reflect the area's built-up nature, where concentrated populations and limited public space can amplify conflicts. Meanwhile, the low rate of vehicle crime—77% below the UK average—suggests that local infrastructure, such as secure parking arrangements or reduced traffic density, may contribute to this trend. The seasonal context, with extended evenings and colder weather, likely influences the timing and nature of crimes without further data. Overall, the crime profile for Caerleon in November 2024 reflects a mix of local and national patterns, with specific categories requiring closer attention.

The most dramatic month-on-month change occurred in the category of possession of weapons, which saw a 100% increase from zero to one incident in November 2024. This spike, though small in absolute terms, raises questions about local factors such as increased knife crime awareness campaigns or shifts in criminal activity. Concurrently, anti-social behaviour rose by 42.9%, from seven to ten incidents, potentially linked to the late-night disruptions common in built-up areas during festive periods. In contrast, vehicle crime fell by 50%, dropping from two to one incident, which may indicate improved security measures or reduced traffic during the month. The breakdown of crimes also reveals stark disparities compared to the UK average: violence and sexual offences are 71% higher than the national rate, while public order offences are 2% below. This contrast highlights the unique challenges faced by Caerleon, where violent crime rates are elevated. For residents, the 100% surge in weapon possession is a notable data point, suggesting the need for targeted interventions in areas where such incidents typically occur. The overall shift in crime mix—from property crimes in previous months to a dominance of violent offences—illustrates a significant change in the area's crime profile during November.

Compared to October 2024, Caerleon's crime rate fell by 6.3%, declining from 8.0 to 7.5 per 1,000 residents. This reduction, while modest, may reflect seasonal patterns such as the end of the university term or the impact of colder weather on outdoor activities. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly two crimes per day in November, a figure that, while seemingly low, translates to one reported crime for every 133 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate provides a tangible sense of the scale of crime relative to the population, though it does not account for variations in reporting or unreported incidents. The population of 7,996 residents means that each crime has a measurable impact on the community, with the rate of 7.5 per 1,000 equating to approximately six crimes for every 100 residents. This perspective is critical for residents assessing risk and for local authorities planning resources. The comparison with the previous month also highlights the volatility of crime rates in Caerleon, where fluctuations can be influenced by both local events and broader national trends. The drop in vehicle crime and the rise in violent offences suggest a shift in the types of crimes being prioritized by offenders, possibly influenced by the area's built-up environment and the timing of seasonal events.