Caerleon Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The crime mix in Caerleon during October 2024 reveals a pronounced emphasis on violent and sexual offences, which accounted for nearly half of all reported crimes. At 30 incidents, this category's rate (3.8 per 1,000) was 42% above the UK average, a figure that may partly reflect the area's built-up character and potential tensions in public spaces. In contrast, property crimes—comprising 16 incidents—were relatively low, with vehicle crime (2 incidents) and burglary (2 incidents) both below the UK average by 36% and 9% respectively. This divergence suggests a unique local dynamic where violent crime dominates despite overall rates being marginally lower than the UK average. The seasonal context of October—darker evenings, the transition to British Summer Time, and Halloween—may have influenced patterns, particularly the spike in criminal damage and arson (8 incidents, 69% above UK average), which could be linked to increased vandalism during festive periods. Anti-social behaviour, however, was 30% below the UK average (0.9 per 1,000), indicating a possible success in community-focused initiatives or lower population density in certain areas. The data also highlights a paradox: while violent crime remains elevated, property-related offences are subdued, a contrast that may reflect the area's mix of residential and commercial zones. This balance of crime types illustrates an area where public safety concerns are concentrated in interpersonal incidents rather than property theft, a trend that may require targeted interventions in high-risk zones.

October 2024 saw a stark shift in Caerleon's crime mix, with violent crimes—particularly violence and sexual offences—dominating at 30 incidents (46.9% of total crimes). This category's rate (3.8 per 1,000) was 42% above the UK average, a discrepancy that may partly reflect the area's built-up nature and higher population density. Meanwhile, vehicle crime fell by 81.8% (from 11 to 2), the steepest decline of any category, potentially linked to seasonal factors such as reduced daylight hours curbing opportunities for theft. Criminal damage and arson surged by 100% (from 4 to 8), a jump that outpaces the UK average by 69%. This spike could be connected to localised events or environmental factors. Residents may find the 100% increase in drugs-related crimes (from 0 to 1) concerning, even if the absolute number remains low. These shifts highlight a combination of persistent violent crime and temporary spikes in other categories.

Caerleon's crime rate in October 2024 (8.0 per 1,000) marked an 8.6% decrease from the previous month's 8.8 per 1,000, reflecting a notable downward trend. This reduction aligns with a local context of 2 crimes reported daily on average—roughly one in every 125 residents over the course of the month. When compared to the UK average, Caerleon's rate remains marginally lower (1.2% below), though this narrow gap masks significant variations within specific crime categories. For instance, violent crimes fell by 14.3% from 35 to 30, suggesting potential success in targeted policing efforts or seasonal factors such as shorter evenings. However, the rise in drugs-related incidents (100% increase) and criminal damage (100% increase) indicates pockets of volatility. The population of 7,996 means each resident faces a 0.8% chance of being involved in a crime this month, a figure that contextualises the impact of localised spikes in specific categories. This contrast between overall stability and category-specific fluctuations underscores the need for nuanced analysis of crime trends.