Rogerstone Crime Rate August 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Rogerstone’s crime rate in August 2023 stood at 2.9 per 1,000 residents, 64.2% below the UK average of 8.1. This figure, the lowest recorded for the area in recent years, reflects a combination of seasonal factors and local characteristics. The built-up area within Newport, while not immune to crime, has historically maintained lower rates, a pattern likely influenced by its integration with urban infrastructure and the absence of high-density housing. Anti-social behaviour (9 incidents) and public order offences (6) were the most common categories, together accounting for nearly half of all reported crimes. The seasonal context of August—peak holiday month, increased tourism, and temporary population shifts—may have contributed to the overall decline, though the 200% rise in shoplifting suggests localized pressures. Violence and sexual offences fell by 66.7% compared to July, aligning with the broader trend of reduced violent crime. However, the sharp increase in possession of weapons—rising from zero to three—remains an outlier, with no clear seasonal or demographic explanation. The area’s low crime rate, despite its urban nature, underscores the effectiveness of community policing and the relative stability of its social fabric, though the anomaly in weapon-related incidents warrants further scrutiny.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift in August 2023 was the 200% increase in shoplifting, with incidents rising from one to three. This surge, though small in absolute terms, contrasts sharply with the 85.7% drop in vehicle crime, which fell from seven to one. The reduction in violent crime was equally notable: violence and sexual offences declined by 66.7%, from 15 to five, a trend consistent with the broader drop in overall crime. Anti-social behaviour remained the most common category, accounting for 29% of reported crimes, and was 44% below the UK average of 1.4 per 1,000. However, possession of weapons—rising from zero to three—was 329% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000, a striking anomaly. For residents, the 66.7% decrease in violent crime offers a tangible reassurance, particularly in light of August’s typically high tourism activity, which might be expected to increase public order incidents.

August 2023 saw Rogerstone’s crime rate drop 31.3% from 4.2 to 2.9 per 1,000 residents, marking the lowest monthly rate since at least 2020. On a daily basis, the area recorded one crime per day over the month—a figure that, while local, illustrates the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. When scaled to the population of 10,825, the monthly exposure means one reported crime occurred for every 349 residents. This suggests that, for most residents, the likelihood of experiencing a crime in August was minimal compared to the UK average. The drop aligns with seasonal patterns, as August is typically a peak holiday month, with temporary population shifts and reduced foot traffic in local areas potentially contributing to lower crime rates. However, the increase in shoplifting and possession of weapons highlights pockets of activity that warrant closer attention within the broader trend of decline.