Rogerstone Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Rogerstone’s crime profile in July 2023 reveals a distinctive mix of offences that diverges from typical urban patterns, shaped by the area’s character as a built-up district within Newport. The overall crime rate of 4.2 per 1,000 residents—49.4% below the UK average—illustrates a broader trend of lower criminal activity, consistent with the area’s relatively low population density and suburban infrastructure. Violence and sexual offences dominated the monthly tally, accounting for 33.3% of all crimes, a share that may reflect the influence of summer social events and increased public interaction in open spaces. Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 20%, likely tied to the same seasonal factors, though its rate remains 44% below the UK average. Vehicle crime, while comprising 15.6% of incidents, stands out as 46% above the national average—a discrepancy that may stem from the area’s proximity to major transport routes and the influx of visitors during peak summer months. This contrast between above-average vehicle crime and below-average rates for other categories suggests a crime mix shaped by both local geography and temporary seasonal pressures. The absence of significant spikes in theft or burglary further underscores the area’s stability, with shoplifting and criminal damage remaining well below UK levels. As July aligns with the height of tourism and festivals, the data highlights how transient factors can influence crime patterns without necessarily reflecting underlying trends, a nuance critical for understanding the area’s security landscape.

July 2023 saw a stark 250% increase in vehicle crime, rising from 2 to 7 incidents—a shift likely tied to increased traffic during summer festivals and events. Simultaneously, drug-related offences doubled from 0 to 2, while criminal damage and arson both surged by 100%, suggesting a potential link to seasonal gatherings or unattended property. Anti-social behaviour decreased by 35.7%, from 14 to 9 incidents, possibly reflecting improved community engagement during the month. Shoplifting fell by 50%, from 2 to 1, a trend that may indicate heightened retail security measures during peak tourist season. While vehicle crime remains 46% above the UK average, other categories like violence and sexual offences (50% below UK levels) and anti-social behaviour (44% below) highlight a crime profile skewed toward specific local factors rather than national trends.

Rogerstone's July 2023 crime rate (4.2 per 1,000) marks a 12.4% increase from June's 3.7 per 1,000, reflecting seasonal dynamics typical of summer months. Daily crime activity averaged 1 incident per day over the 31-day period, a figure that, while low, aligns with the area’s generally lower crime profile compared to the UK average. When scaled to population, the monthly exposure reveals that 1 in every 241 residents experienced a reported crime during July—a statistic that contextualises the crime rate in terms of individual risk. This figure, though modest, underscores the importance of localised awareness, particularly as summer festivals and extended daylight hours may alter usual crime patterns. The increase from June is consistent with the area’s seasonal rhythm, where tourism and outdoor events often coincide with shifts in criminal activity, though the overall rate remains significantly below national levels.