Rogerstone Crime Rate June 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Rogerstone's crime profile for June 2023 demonstrates a marked contrast to the UK average, with a recorded rate of 3.7 crimes per 1,000 residents—56.5% below the national figure of 8.5. This built-up area within Newport exhibits a distinct crime pattern, dominated by anti-social behaviour (35% of total crimes), violence and sexual offences (30%), and public order incidents (12.5%). The data aligns with seasonal patterns typical of early summer, when increased social activity and longer daylight hours may contribute to higher reports of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. Violent crimes in Rogerstone remain significantly below the UK average, with violence and sexual offences at 1.1 per 1,000 compared to the national rate of 2.9 per 1,000. This suggests that local factors—such as community engagement initiatives or the area's urban characteristics—may play a role in mitigating violent crime. The relatively low property crime rate (7 total incidents) further diverges from UK trends, where property crimes often constitute a larger share of reported offences. As June marks the beginning of the summer season, the data may reflect heightened social interactions in public spaces, explaining the prominence of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. However, the absence of a significant spike in property-related crimes contrasts with typical seasonal patterns observed in coastal or tourist-heavy areas, indicating that Rogerstone's crime dynamics may be shaped by unique local conditions.

June 2023 saw notable fluctuations in specific crime categories within Rogerstone. Vehicle crime, shoplifting, and other unspecified crimes all recorded 100% increases compared to May, with vehicle crime rising from 0 to 2 incidents and shoplifting doubling from 1 to 2. This uptick may be linked to summer-related factors, such as increased vehicle use or temporary changes in retail activity. Conversely, other theft incidents fell by 40% (from 5 to 3), and violence and sexual offences decreased by 20% (from 15 to 12), suggesting potential seasonal or situational influences on crime trends. The breakdown of crime types reveals that Rogerstone remains significantly safer than the UK average in several categories: violence and sexual offences are 62% below the national rate, while anti-social behaviour is 12% below the UK average of 1.5 per 1,000. However, one category—other crime—exceeds the UK average by 33%, indicating a small but notable divergence in this area. For residents, the 100% increase in vehicle crime highlights the need for heightened vigilance around parked vehicles during the summer months. These shifts in crime patterns, while modest in scale, underscore the dynamic nature of local security challenges and the importance of ongoing community awareness efforts.

Rogerstone's crime rate in June 2023 (3.7 per 1,000 residents) represents an 11.1% increase from the previous month's rate of 3.3 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend in reported incidents. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 1 crime per day during June, a figure that provides context for residents assessing local safety. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 271 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Rogerstone well below the UK average. With a population of 10,825, the area's relatively low crime density highlights its comparative safety compared to other regions. This monthly aggregate figure does not account for variations in reporting patterns or seasonal factors, but it offers a clear benchmark for understanding crime frequency within the community. The population-scaled perspective reveals that residents face a significantly lower risk of experiencing crime than the national average, with the likelihood of encountering a reported incident being 56.5% lower than in the UK as a whole. While the 11.1% month-on-month increase signals a minor shift in crime dynamics, the overall trajectory remains firmly within a low-crime context. This suggests that local factors—such as community cohesion, policing strategies, or environmental design—may be contributing to the area's continued performance relative to national standards.