Rogerstone Crime Rate May 2023 | Monthly Statistics

May 2023 marked a slight upward trend in Rogerstone's overall crime rate, which rose to 3.3 per 1,000 residents—still 58.8% below the UK average of 8.0. The area's crime profile remained dominated by violent offences, which accounted for 41.7% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour at 25%. This pattern aligns with the seasonal rhythm of May, when longer evenings and bank holidays often lead to increased socialising in public spaces. The spike in violence and sexual offences, which rose by 66.7% compared to April, may reflect the influence of outdoor drinking and late-night activity in the built-up area. However, the area's violent crime rate remains 50% below the UK average, suggesting that local factors—such as community policing or the area's compact nature—may mitigate broader risks. Anti-social behaviour, while still a significant concern, saw a 40% gap below the UK average, linked to the area's smaller population and targeted interventions. The relatively low rates of property crimes (7 incidents, or 19.4% of total) and the stark 80% deficit in shoplifting compared to the UK average further illustrate a crime picture shaped by both local conditions and seasonal dynamics.

May 2023 saw a 66.7% rise in violence and sexual offences, with 15 incidents reported—up from 9 in April. This surge aligns with the season's longer evenings and increased outdoor socialising, which may contribute to heightened interpersonal tensions. Possession of weapons and robbery both doubled from zero to one incident each, a stark shift that could reflect isolated incidents or broader patterns yet to be understood. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 50% (from 2 to 1), and public order offences decreased by 20% (from 5 to 4), indicating targeted policing efforts or seasonal lulls in disorderly conduct. The area's violent crime rate of 1.4 per 1,000 is 50% below the UK average for this category, while anti-social behaviour remains 40% below the national benchmark. These figures highlight a combination of local conditions and broader trends.

Rogerstone's crime rate in May 2023 rose by 9.2% compared to April, moving from 3.1 to 3.3 per 1,000 residents. While this represents a slight upward trend, the area remains significantly safer than the UK average, which stood at 8.0 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the local rate translates to roughly one crime reported per day over the 31-day period, a figure that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. When scaled to the population of 10,825, the monthly exposure means one reported crime occurred for every 301 residents. This suggests that, despite the month-on-month increase, the likelihood of encountering crime remains low for most residents. The shift in crime types—particularly the rise in violent offences and possession of weapons—highlights areas for further analysis, though the overall safety profile of Rogerstone remains distinct from broader national trends.