Rogerstone Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Rogerstone's crime profile in November 2023, accounting for 42.9% of all reported crimes. At 3.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, the area's overall crime rate was 48.0% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently safer environment compared to national trends. This marked contrast with the UK average highlights the effectiveness of local policing strategies or community factors that may be mitigating risk. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping, and extended dark evenings—likely influenced patterns, though the data shows no sharp spikes in property crime during this period. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, with a rate of 1.7 per 1,000 (34% below the UK average), while anti-social behaviour (0.5 per 1,000) and public order offences (0.4 per 1,000) also fell significantly below national benchmarks. The low rates of burglary (0.3 per 1,000) and other theft (0.3 per 1,000) suggest that property crime is not a major concern in this built-up area within Newport. These figures may align with Rogerstone's character as a relatively compact, residential or mixed-use neighbourhood where community cohesion and local policing contribute to lower crime levels. The absence of significant spikes in violent crime during November, despite the season's usual challenges, could indicate stable community dynamics or effective targeted interventions.

November 2023 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with burglary increasing by 100% (from 0 to 3 incidents) and drug-related offences doubling (from 1 to 2). This rise in burglary may reflect seasonal vulnerabilities, such as increased home occupancy during the holiday period or targeted activity in specific areas. Conversely, criminal damage and arson fell sharply by 71.4% (from 7 to 2 incidents), potentially linked to reduced outdoor activity during colder weather or heightened community vigilance. Shoplifting also dropped by 66.7% (from 6 to 2 incidents), due to the timing of Black Friday sales, which may have shifted consumer behaviour or drawn police attention to retail areas. The area's violent crime rate of 1.7 per 1,000 remains 34% below the UK average for this category, suggesting that local factors—such as a lower proportion of transient populations or stronger community ties—may be contributing to this trend. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.5 per 1,000, was 52% below the UK average, indicating that Rogerstone's built-up area may have effective noise control measures or community engagement initiatives that reduce disruptive incidents. These fluctuations underscore the need for ongoing monitoring of specific crime types, particularly burglary and drugs, which saw significant month-on-month changes.

Rogerstone's crime rate in November 2023 remained stable compared to the previous month, with no change in the overall rate of 3.9 per 1,000 residents. This consistency suggests that local conditions—such as policing strategies or community initiatives—have maintained a steady level of safety. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 1 crime per day over the 30-day period, a figure that translates to one reported crime for every 258 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate provides context for residents, showing that the likelihood of being directly affected by crime is relatively low. When compared to the UK average, Rogerstone's performance is striking: its overall rate is nearly half that of the national figure, and individual categories such as anti-social behaviour (52% below) and public order offences (25% below) also show substantial gaps. These differences may be attributed to factors such as a more cohesive community environment, lower population density within the built-up area, or targeted crime prevention efforts. The stability in the crime rate, despite seasonal fluctuations in specific categories, reinforces the idea that Rogerstone's built-up area has established a baseline of safety that is resistant to short-term variations in crime patterns.