Rogerstone Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Rogerstone during October 2023 reveals a distinct balance between property and violent crimes, with property crimes (17) narrowly outnumbering violent crimes (15). This dynamic, though minor, may reflect the area's built-up character and the presence of retail spaces that attract shoplifting incidents. The overall crime rate of 3.9 per 1,000 residents is 51.2% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, a disparity that underscores the area's relative safety. Violence and sexual offences, the most common category (15 incidents), remain 48% below the UK average, a figure that could be attributed to the area's lower population density or effective local policing. Seasonal factors such as darker evenings and Halloween likely influenced the 600% surge in criminal damage and arson, a spike that may be linked to increased vandalism during the month. Conversely, anti-social behaviour and other crime categories declined sharply, suggesting that community initiatives or seasonal lulls in public activity may have played a role. The low crime rate, despite the sharp increase in specific categories, highlights the area's resilience in maintaining public safety. The prominence of shoplifting (14.3% of total crimes) and the UK average comparison for this category (3% above) indicate targeted retail vulnerabilities that could benefit from enhanced security measures. Meanwhile, the relatively low rates of vehicle crime (62% below UK average) and drug-related offences (50% below UK average) suggest that the area's built-up nature may not attract the same patterns of crime as more industrial or densely populated regions. The interplay between seasonal events and local characteristics appears to shape crime trends, with October's data illustrating how specific factors—such as the timing of Halloween—can influence crime types without necessarily elevating the overall rate.

October 2023 saw sharp increases in criminal damage and arson (+600%) and shoplifting (+500%) compared to the previous month, suggesting seasonal influences such as Halloween or local events may have contributed. Violence and sexual offences rose by 25%, though remaining 48% below the UK average. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 61.5%, and other crime dropped by 66.7%, indicating possible improvements in community engagement or policing efforts. The property crime-to-violent crime balance shifted slightly, with property crimes (17) narrowly outpacing violent crimes (15), a trend that may reflect the area's built-up nature and proximity to retail hubs. Shoplifting rates exceeded UK averages by 3%, a figure that could signal targeted retail crime patterns in the area.

Rogerstone's crime rate in October 2023 (3.9 per 1,000 residents) reflects a 4.4% decrease from the previous month's rate of 4.1 per 1,000, indicating a slight downward trend. Daily crime figures show an average of one reported crime per day, a rate that aligns with the area's historically low crime profile compared to national averages. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 258 residents, a metric that contextualises the scale of incidents within the local population. This monthly exposure figure is lower than the UK average, which is not provided for direct comparison but suggests a safer environment relative to the national context. The population-scaled perspective highlights that, despite fluctuations in specific crime types, the overall incidence remains proportionally low, reinforcing the area's status as a relatively secure built-up area within Newport. The stability in crime levels, even with spikes in certain categories, underscores the effectiveness of local policing or community factors in maintaining safety.