Rogerstone Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominate Rogerstone's crime profile in November 2024, accounting for 35.6% of all reported crimes. At 4.2 per 1,000 residents, the area's crime rate is 44.7% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This stark contrast to national trends highlights the area's unique characteristics as a built-up district within Newport, where community policing efforts and local demographics may contribute to lower overall crime. The breakdown shows a marked divergence from UK norms: violence and sexual offences in Rogerstone are 42% below the national average, while anti-social behaviour is 64% below. These figures suggest a relatively stable environment, though seasonal factors such as dark evenings and Bonfire Night may have influenced certain crime patterns. The dominance of violent crime over property crime—violence accounts for 35.6% versus 13.3% for criminal damage and arson—contrasts with the UK average where property crimes typically outpace violence. This shift could reflect local policing priorities, the presence of community-focused initiatives, or the area's role as a commuter hub with lower retail activity compared to larger urban centres. The seasonal context of November—Black Friday shopping and the approach of winter—may have also influenced crime dynamics, though the data shows a notable decrease in shoplifting compared to previous months, indicating effective retail security measures or reduced foot traffic in the area.

November 2024 saw a 100% increase in public order offences, rising from 3 to 6 incidents. This surge aligns with the month's dark evenings and the timing of Bonfire Night, which often sees spikes in alcohol-related disturbances. Simultaneously, possession of weapons offences doubled to 2 cases, a figure 233% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000. While this small increase is statistically significant, its impact on community safety remains unclear without further context. Conversely, shoplifting fell sharply by 63.6% (11 to 4 incidents), potentially reflecting the success of targeted retail security measures during Black Friday or reduced foot traffic in the area. Vehicle crime also declined by 50% (2 to 1), though this may be partly attributable to seasonal factors such as shorter daylight hours discouraging opportunistic theft. The crime mix shifted with violent crimes maintaining their dominance over property crimes—a pattern not typically seen in the UK where property offences often lead. This suggests a unique local dynamic, linked to Rogerstone's role as a commuter suburb within Newport, where resident-focused policing may have reduced property crime while leaving violent incidents more prevalent. A resident would find the 64% reduction in anti-social behaviour (from 1.1 to 0.4 per 1,000) particularly noteworthy, indicating a sustained effort to address nuisance crimes in the area.

Rogerstone's November 2024 crime rate of 4.2 per 1,000 residents marks a 10.0% decrease from the previous month's rate of 4.6 per 1,000, continuing a downward trend that has likely contributed to its status as one of the UK's safest built-up areas. On a daily basis, the area experiences approximately 2 crimes per day, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure of 1 reported crime for every 241 residents. This statistic places Rogerstone well within the lower end of the UK's crime distribution, where the average resident faces a 1-in-133 chance of being a crime victim over a month. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the area's low crime rate is not merely a function of its size but reflects systemic factors such as effective local policing, community engagement, or the area's characteristics as a commuter suburb with limited nightlife compared to larger urban centres. While the UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.6 per 1,000, Rogerstone's rate of 1.5 per 1,000 suggests a more stable environment, potentially influenced by the area's demographics and the presence of family-oriented housing. However, the 233% above UK average for possession of weapons (0.2 vs 0.1 per 1,000) highlights a specific vulnerability that may warrant closer attention. These comparative figures underscore the importance of maintaining current policing strategies while addressing any emerging issues, such as the increase in public order offences, which could indicate underlying tensions exacerbated by seasonal events.