Rogerstone Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In October 2024, Rogerstone's crime profile revealed a striking contrast between property and violent crime, with property offences (24 incidents) outnumbering violent crimes (16 incidents) by a significant margin. The area's overall crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents marked a 43.2% deficit compared to the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, a gap consistent with its relatively low-risk environment. Violence and sexual offences constituted the largest single category (32% of all crimes), yet this rate (1.5 per 1,000) remained 44% below the UK average for the same category. Shoplifting emerged as the second most common crime type (22% of total crimes), though its rate (1.0 per 1,000) exceeded the UK average by 39%. The seasonal context of October—shorter days and the approach of Halloween—may have influenced patterns, with increased foot traffic in retail areas potentially contributing to the sharp rise in shoplifting. Anti-social behaviour, while less frequent (10% of total crimes), saw a 37.5% decrease from September, reflecting quieter evenings or community initiatives. The balance between property and violent crime suggests a built-up area where commercial activity and public spaces dominate, shaping the types of offences most likely to occur. This dynamic may also reflect broader trends in Newport, where urban centres often see distinct crime profiles compared to more rural or industrial regions.

October 2024 saw dramatic shifts in crime patterns, with shoplifting incidents surging by 175% (from 4 to 11) compared to the previous month, a jump that outpaced other categories. This spike, while below the UK average for shoplifting (0.7 per 1,000), raises questions about retail environments or seasonal factors such as Halloween-related activity. Conversely, burglary dropped by 80% (from 5 to 1), a steep decline that may indicate improved security measures or reduced opportunities in residential areas. The violent crime rate (1.5 per 1,000) remained 44% below the UK average, with no major spikes reported, suggesting stability in this category. Anti-social behaviour, though still present (5 incidents), fell by 37.5%—a change that could be linked to reduced evening activity or enforcement efforts. The property-to-violent crime ratio (24:16) highlights a built-up area where commercial spaces and public areas may drive non-violent offences more than violent ones. Residents might find the shoplifting increase particularly concerning, given its direct impact on local businesses.

Rogerstone's crime rate in October 2024 rose by 19.1% compared to the previous month, moving from 3.9 to 4.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, while modest, underscores the volatility of monthly crime trends in urbanised areas. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 2 crimes per day—a figure that, while low, reflects the concentrated nature of incidents in specific locations. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 217 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Rogerstone among the safer built-up areas in the UK. When compared to the national average, this rate is 43.2% lower, a gap that persists despite the month-on-month increase. The population context—10,825 residents—means that the absolute number of crimes (50) remains manageable, though the sharp rise in shoplifting suggests localized pressures. This comparison highlights the importance of viewing crime statistics through both absolute and relative lenses: while Rogerstone's rate is well below the UK average, the specific dynamics of its built-up environment mean that certain categories, like retail-related offences, warrant closer attention.