Rogerstone Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

January 2025 saw Rogerstone maintain a crime rate of 3.6 per 1,000 residents, a figure 49.3% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This continued trend of lower-than-average crime aligns with the area’s relatively low population density and limited commercial activity compared to larger urban centres. The most common crimes reported were violence and sexual offences (14 incidents, 35.9% of total), followed by other theft (7 incidents, 18.0%) and shoplifting (6 incidents, 15.4%). These figures contrast with the UK averages for the same categories, where violence and sexual offences were 48% higher and shoplifting rates were only 3% lower. Seasonal factors likely contributed to the crime profile, as January typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, which may limit opportunities for certain types of crime. However, the area’s crime mix still reflects local characteristics—violence and sexual offences are concentrated in public spaces, while shoplifting incidents align with the presence of small retail outlets in the built-up area. The overall crime rate remains consistent with historical patterns for Rogerstone, suggesting that structural factors such as community policing efforts and socioeconomic conditions continue to play a role in shaping the local crime profile. The proportion of property crimes (19 incidents) was lower than the UK average, which may indicate a combination of effective security measures and the area’s limited high-value property stock.

January 2025 marked a notable uptick in violence and sexual offences, which rose by 40% month-on-month from 10 to 14 incidents. This increase, while still below the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000, raises concerns for residents. Other theft also saw a 40% increase, rising from 5 to 7 incidents, and other crime surged by 100% as one previously unreported category emerged. These shifts suggest a possible reallocation of criminal activity, potentially linked to post-holiday disruptions or changes in local dynamics. Conversely, burglary rates fell by 66.7% (from 6 to 2 incidents), and criminal damage and arson decreased by 25%, aligning with the seasonal trend of reduced outdoor activity. The category of other theft, now 0.7 per 1,000, is 43% above the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000, indicating a specific vulnerability in this area. Residents should be particularly vigilant in areas with higher foot traffic, such as the town centre, where targeted thefts have increased. The sharp rise in 'other crime'—a category that includes unclassified incidents—suggests the need for further investigation into its nature.

Comparing January 2025 to December 2024, Rogerstone’s crime rate fell by 11.3% to 3.6 per 1,000 from 4.1 per 1,000, reflecting a continued downward trend. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that, while low, underscores the sporadic nature of criminal activity in this built-up area. Monthly exposure calculations show that over the course of January, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 278 residents—a rate significantly lower than the UK average. This statistic, when contextualised with Rogerstone’s population of 10,825, highlights the area’s relative safety compared to the national picture. However, the monthly decrease does not fully offset the month-on-month increases in specific categories, indicating that while overall crime remains subdued, certain types of crime are fluctuating. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the area’s small size and limited commercial density contribute to its lower crime rates, but also mean that individual incidents have a more pronounced impact on local statistics. For residents, this means that while the overall risk is low, targeted awareness of rising categories such as violence and sexual offences is essential.