Rogerstone Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In February 2025, Rogerstone’s crime rate stood at 5.1 per 1,000 residents, placing it 23.9% below the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, reflects the combination of local conditions in a built-up area within Newport. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (18 incidents, 32.7% of total), followed by criminal damage and arson (12, 21.8%) and shoplifting (8, 14.6%). These patterns align with the characteristics of urban centres, where proximity to retail hubs and community spaces may contribute to higher rates of property-related crimes. However, the significant increase in criminal damage and arson—129% above the UK average—suggests a local anomaly that may be influenced by factors such as community tensions or specific incidents. Seasonal context also plays a role: February, a winter month with low outdoor activity, typically sees a pre-spring lull in crime, yet the sharp rise in certain categories indicates that other dynamics are at play. The relatively low rates of burglary, vehicle crime, and drugs—each below the UK average—further underscore the area’s distinct profile. For residents, the 5.1 per 1,000 rate translates to a 1-in-197 chance of experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month, a figure that, while not negligible, is lower than the UK average. This data highlights the importance of understanding local crime patterns, which are shaped by both geographic and demographic factors unique to Rogerstone.

February saw a stark rise in criminal damage and arson, jumping from 3 to 12 incidents—a 300% increase—placing this category 129% above the UK average. This surge, though unexplained by the data, may reflect seasonal factors such as increased indoor gatherings during colder months. Meanwhile, vehicle crime and drug-related offences each doubled compared to January. Other theft, however, fell by 57.1%, suggesting a possible seasonal lull in opportunistic crimes. The breakdown of crimes also reveals a shift in priorities: violence and sexual offences (32.7% of total) and criminal damage (21.8%) now dominate, whereas property crimes like shoplifting (14.6%) account for a smaller share. This mix contrasts with the UK average, where violence and sexual offences are 28% lower, highlighting Rogerstone’s unique challenges. For residents, the sharp increase in criminal damage may be particularly noteworthy, given its significant deviation from national trends.

In February 2025, Rogerstone’s crime rate rose 41.1% from the previous month’s 3.6 per 1,000 to 5.1 per 1,000.9% below the UK average. This shift underscores the volatility of crime trends in built-up areas, where seasonal lulls can be disrupted by isolated incidents. On a daily basis, the area experiences approximately two reported crimes, a figure that, while low, reflects the concentrated nature of activity in urban centres. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 197 residents, a ratio that contextualises risk in terms of personal likelihood. With a population of 10,825, this suggests that most residents are unlikely to encounter crime directly, though the increase from January may signal emerging local pressures. The contrast with the UK average highlights Rogerstone’s relatively safer profile, though the sharp rise in specific categories like criminal damage and arson demands closer attention.