Rogerstone Crime Rate March 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 10,825, 58 crimes reported in March 2025 translates to 5.4 crimes per 1,000 residents — a rate 30.8% below the UK average of 7.8. This figure contextualises the volume of crime as relatively low for a built-up area within Newport. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 37.9% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (19.0%) and criminal damage and arson (17.2%). The dominance of violent crime over property crime contrasts with national trends, where property offences typically make up a larger share. Seasonal context may play a role: as March transitions to spring, longer evenings and clock changes could influence outdoor activity and crime timing. However, the marked reduction in shoplifting and vehicle crime — both 26–74% below UK averages — suggests local factors, such as effective policing or community initiatives, may be contributing to this trend. The relatively low rate of violent crime compared to the UK average, despite the high share in Rogerstone, indicates a possible divergence in local dynamics that warrants further analysis.

March 2025 saw a 300% increase in public order offences, rising from 2 to 8 cases. This surge, coupled with a 120% rise in anti-social behaviour (from 5 to 11), suggests a shift in the crime mix toward offences linked to public spaces and social interactions. Violence and sexual offences increased by 22.2%, though they remain 27% below the UK average at 2.0 per 1,000. Conversely, other theft and vehicle crime both fell sharply — other theft dropped 66.7% (from 3 to 1) and vehicle crime fell 50% (from 2 to 1), both significantly below UK averages. The contrast between rising public order offences and falling property crime may indicate seasonal or situational factors, such as increased foot traffic during spring or changes in community engagement. For residents, the 300% jump in public order offences — which includes disturbances and anti-social acts — could signal a need for heightened vigilance in shared spaces during this transitional month.

The crime rate in March 2025 (5.4 per 1,000) marks a 5.5% increase from February’s 5.1, though it remains well below the UK average. Over 31 days, this equates to roughly 2 crimes per day — a figure that may feel manageable for residents, though the surge in public order offences could alter this perception. On a monthly basis, the rate translates to 1 reported crime for every 187 residents, a statistic that highlights the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. Comparing this to the UK average, Rogerstone’s violent crime rate (2.0 per 1,000) is 27% lower, while its criminal damage and arson rate (0.9 per 1,000) is 58% higher than the national average. This disparity suggests that while Rogerstone is generally safer in terms of violent crime, localised issues such as vandalism may require targeted interventions. The population-scaled perspective reinforces that, despite the 5.5% monthly rise, the overall level of crime remains far from the national benchmark, offering a nuanced view of safety in the area.