Tonyrefail Crime Rate February 2026 | Monthly Statistics

In February 2026, Tonyrefail recorded 74 crimes across a population of 9,536 residents, equating to a crime rate of 7.8 per 1,000 people. This figure places the area 21.9% above the UK average of 6.4 per 1,000, a disparity that has grown over recent months. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 41.9% of all incidents, followed by public order offences (10.8%) and criminal damage and arson (9.5%). These patterns align with the area’s status as a built-up region within Rhondda Cynon Taf, where public spaces and community interactions may contribute to higher rates of disorder-related crimes. Seasonal factors, such as the winter lull in outdoor activity, may have influenced the distribution of crimes, with indoor spaces becoming focal points for violence and drug-related incidents. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.3 per 1,000, but Tonyrefail’s rate of 3.3 per 1,000 suggests a localised challenge that may be exacerbated by the area’s demographics or social structures. Public order offences, which are 95% above the UK average, could reflect tensions in shared spaces or a lack of resources for community mediation. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour, the only category below the UK average, may indicate that some interventions have been effective, though further analysis is needed to confirm this. The overall rise in crime, particularly in drug-related and property offences, raises questions about the underlying drivers, such as economic pressures or changes in policing strategies, though these remain speculative without additional data.

February 2026 saw a dramatic 300% increase in drug-related crimes, rising from one to four incidents. This surge, coupled with a 250% rise in criminal damage and arson, points to a significant shift in crime dynamics. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences decreased by 8.8%, from 34 to 31 cases, though they remained 42% above the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, the only category below the UK average, fell 23% to 0.7 per 1,000. Other theft, down 25% to three incidents, performed better than the UK average. These fluctuations suggest a combination of factors, such as the timing of local events or changes in enforcement focus. Residents may find the 300% spike in drug-related crimes particularly noteworthy, as it could indicate new challenges in community safety.

Tonyrefail’s crime rate in February 2026 rose to 7.8 per 1,000 residents, a 21.2% increase from the previous month’s 6.4 per 1,000. This places the area 21.9% above the UK average of 6.4 per 1,000, a gap that has widened over recent months. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately three crimes per day, a figure that, while localised, underscores the frequency of incidents in a community of 9,536 people. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 129 residents, a ratio that highlights the proportional impact on the population. This monthly exposure, though not directly comparable to national figures, reflects the density of incidents in a built-up area where public spaces and shared infrastructure may amplify the visibility of crime. The rise in violent and property crimes suggests a shift in the balance of crime types, potentially influenced by seasonal patterns or local dynamics such as increased indoor activity during winter.