Tonyrefail Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2026, Tonyrefail’s crime rate stood at 6.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 5.9% below the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000. This figure, while slightly lower than the national benchmark, masks a combination of crime types that reflect local conditions. The most prevalent category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 55.7% of all reported crimes, significantly higher than the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000. This suggests that personal safety remains a pressing concern for residents, with the local rate of violent crime 44% above the national average. Public order offences followed, making up 11.5% of the total, and also exceeding the UK average by 67%. These figures may be influenced by the area’s built-up character and the presence of community spaces that could foster conflicts or disorder. Anti-social behaviour, at 6.6% of total crimes, was 57% below the UK average, a contrast that could be attributed to the area’s relatively smaller population or effective local policing. Seasonal factors may also play a role: January’s reduced retail footfall and shorter days may have limited opportunities for crimes like shoplifting, which fell to 1 case (a 66.7% decrease from December). However, the post-holiday period may have contributed to spikes in drug-related incidents and anti-social behaviour, both of which rose sharply. These trends highlight the need for targeted interventions, particularly in addressing violent crime and public order issues, while the lower rates of property crime suggest that community-focused strategies may be having an effect.

January 2026 saw notable shifts in crime patterns across Tonyrefail. Drug-related incidents surged by 100%, rising from 0 to 1, a change that may reflect seasonal factors or localized issues. Anti-social behaviour also increased sharply, doubling from 0 to 4, a trend that could be linked to post-holiday social dynamics or community tensions. Robbery rates, which had previously been absent, rose to 2 cases, a 100% increase. These spikes contrast with declines in other categories: criminal damage and arson fell by 81.8%, shoplifting dropped by 66.7%, and other theft decreased by 63.6%. The violent crime category, accounting for 55.7% of all reported crimes, remains 44% above the UK average, a disparity that may be influenced by local demographics or environmental factors. Meanwhile, property crimes such as burglary and vehicle crime remain below the UK average, with burglary at 29% below and vehicle crime at 46% below, suggesting that residential areas in Tonyrefail may be experiencing lower levels of targeted property crime compared to the national picture.

Tonyrefail's crime rate in January 2026 fell to 6.4 per 1,000 residents, a 9.0% decrease from the previous month’s 7.0 per 1,000. This decline aligns with typical January patterns, where reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours may dampen opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that translates to roughly one reported crime for every 156 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate offers a tangible measure of risk for local residents, contextualising how frequently crime might intersect with daily life. When compared to the UK average, Tonyrefail’s rate remains 5.9% lower, though the local mix of crime types diverges significantly from national trends. For example, violent crimes in Tonyrefail are 44% above the UK average, highlighting a stark contrast in the nature of local crime compared to broader patterns. These figures, when scaled to the area’s population of 9,536, illustrate that while the overall rate is slightly below the UK average, specific crime categories demand closer attention.