Churchdown Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

November 2023 saw Churchdown record a crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 41.3% below the UK average of 7.5. This stark divergence from national trends highlights a unique local dynamic. Violent crimes dominated the monthly tally, accounting for 50.8% of all incidents, with 33 reported cases of violence and sexual offences. This category alone sits 11% below the UK average, a figure that may partly explain the area’s lower overall rate. The dominance of violent crime contrasts with the UK’s broader mix of property and violent offences, suggesting a distinct local pattern. Seasonal factors likely influenced this profile: Bonfire Night events in late November could have heightened tensions in public spaces, while the dark evenings of the month may have contributed to the 4.6% rise in vehicle crime. Conversely, the sharp 150% increase in shoplifting, which jumped from 2 to 5 incidents, appears to defy expectations. This surge may be linked to Black Friday sales, though the small number of cases prevents definitive conclusions. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also remained low, with rates 52% and 6% below UK averages respectively, a trend consistent with Churchdown’s relatively tranquil built-up character. The area’s crime profile thus reflects a balance between local stability and occasional spikes tied to seasonal events, offering a nuanced picture of safety in a semi-rural setting.

The most striking shift in November 2023 was the 150% rise in shoplifting, with cases increasing from 2 to 5. This jump, though small in absolute terms, contrasts with the 71.4% drop in other theft, which fell from 7 to 2. The divergence in property crime trends may reflect targeted retail activity during Black Friday. Violent crime remained the largest category, but its rate of 2.3 per 1,000 (11% below the UK average) suggests a localised approach to managing conflicts. Public order offences fell by 22.2% compared to October, potentially linked to fewer Bonfire Night-related disturbances than anticipated. Meanwhile, vehicle crime rose by 50%, from 2 to 3 incidents, influenced by darker evenings and seasonal travel patterns. Anti-social behaviour, though modest at 7 cases, increased by 16.7%, indicating a slight uptick in low-level disputes. These fluctuations underscore the combination of seasonal rhythms and local conditions, with Churchdown’s crime mix revealing both stability and occasional volatility.

Churchdown’s November 2023 crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 marked a 20.7% decline from October’s 5.6, reflecting a broader downward trend. This monthly decrease aligns with the area’s consistently low crime profile, which has remained well below the UK average for years. On a daily basis, Churchdown recorded approximately 2 crimes per day in November, a figure that appears modest when compared to larger urban centres but is typical for a semi-rural built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 225 residents, a ratio that highlights the area’s relative safety. This monthly exposure rate, while low, is a critical metric for residents: it means that the likelihood of experiencing crime in Churchdown is significantly lower than in regions with higher population densities. The 41.3% gap between Churchdown’s rate and the UK average further underscores the area’s unique position. While the UK overall experiences 7.5 crimes per 1,000 residents, Churchdown’s population of 14,647 has seen just 65 reported incidents, a disparity that may be attributed to its smaller size, lower population density, and community-focused policing efforts. These comparative figures offer reassurance to residents, illustrating that Churchdown’s crime rates remain firmly within the safer end of the national spectrum.