Churchdown Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 14,647, Churchdown recorded 82 crimes in October 2023, translating to a crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 residents. This figure places the area 30% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, a significant deviation that suggests local factors may be influencing crime patterns. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, contributing 48.8% of the total with 40 incidents reported. Public order offences (9 cases) and other theft (7 cases) followed, highlighting a mix of personal and community-focused crime. The seasonal context of October—shorter days, the transition to winter, and Halloween—may partly explain the distribution of offences. While violence and sexual offences align with the UK average, other categories like anti-social behaviour (6 cases) and criminal damage (6 cases) show marked underperformance compared to national benchmarks. This contrasts with a slight UK-wide overperformance in 'other crime' (5 cases), which includes less common categories. The built-up nature of Churchdown within Tewkesbury may contribute to the prevalence of violent incidents, while the relatively low rates of property crime and vehicle crime could reflect effective local policing or community engagement initiatives. These patterns will require continued monitoring as seasonal factors shift further into the winter months.

October 2023 saw notable fluctuations in crime types, with 'other crime' increasing by 66.7% (3 → 5 cases) and public order offences rising by 28.6% (7 → 9 cases). This upward trend in non-violent but disruptive incidents may reflect the influence of Halloween activities or increased social gatherings during the month. Conversely, shoplifting and vehicle crime both declined sharply—75% and 60% respectively—suggesting possible improvements in retail security measures or reduced opportunities for theft in the area. Burglary also fell by 33.3% (6 → 4 cases), though this remains below the UK average for the category. The breakdown of violent crime aligns precisely with the UK average (2.7 per 1,000), while public order offences slightly exceed the national rate by 2%. These figures indicate that while Churchdown maintains a generally lower crime profile than the UK average, specific categories like public order require targeted attention. A resident would find the 75% reduction in shoplifting particularly noteworthy, as it suggests a tangible decrease in retail-related crime that could benefit local businesses.

Churchdown's October 2023 crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 represents a 10.8% decrease from the previous month's rate of 6.3 per 1,000, indicating a downward trend over the past two months. On a daily basis, this equates to roughly 3 crimes reported each day in the area—a figure that, while seemingly high, must be contextualised within the local population of 14,647. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 179 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is lower than many comparable areas. This statistic provides a concrete measure of risk for residents, showing that the likelihood of being directly affected by crime remains relatively low. The population-scaled perspective also reveals that Churchdown's crime profile is more evenly distributed than the UK average, with no single category dominating the statistics. While the area's lower overall rate suggests effective crime prevention strategies, the slight increase in public order offences and 'other crime' highlights areas for further improvement. These figures, when compared to the UK average, underscore Churchdown's position as a relatively safe built-up area within Tewkesbury.