Churchdown Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Churchdown’s November 2025 crime rate of 5.4 per 1,000 residents places it 26% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000, a position reinforced by the dominance of violence and sexual offences (39.2% of total crimes) and anti-social behaviour (20.3%). This stark contrast to the UK average for violent crime — where Churchdown’s rate of 2.1 per 1,000 is 18% below the national 2.6 per 1,000 — suggests a unique local dynamic. The built-up area within Tewkesbury, likely shaped by its proximity to a major town and seasonal retail activity, may explain the unusual focus on violent crime despite its overall safety profile. Seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping could have influenced patterns, though the sharp rise in shoplifting (200% increase) defies typical expectations for this time of year. This anomaly may reflect heightened retail activity or targeted criminal behaviour. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour remains a consistent challenge, aligning with the area’s character as a mixed-use community where public spaces are frequently utilised. The lower-than-average rates for shoplifting and other theft categories suggest effective local deterrents, though the 100% above-average burglary rate (0.6 per 1,000) indicates vulnerabilities in property crime prevention that warrant further attention.

November 2025 saw a dramatic 200% increase in shoplifting cases, rising from 2 to 6 incidents — a sharp contrast to the usual seasonal patterns. This surge, coupled with a 100% rise in possession of weapons and vehicle crime, points to a notable shift in criminal activity during the month. Meanwhile, public order offences dropped by 83.3%, and violence and sexual offences fell by 39.2%, the latter now at 31 cases (39.2% of total crimes) — 18% below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. This reduction in violent crime may partly explain the overall 26% deficit compared to the national rate. The data also reveals a paradox: while burglary remains 100% above the UK average (0.6 vs 0.3 per 1,000), other theft categories like shoplifting and other theft both fell below national averages by 37% and 41% respectively. These divergent trends suggest complex interactions between local factors and national norms, with retail activity and seasonal events like Black Friday likely influencing the spike in shoplifting.

Churchdown's November 2025 crime rate of 5.4 per 1,000 residents marks a 13.2% decrease from the previous month's 6.2 per 1,000, continuing a downward trend observed in recent months. This equates to roughly three crimes reported per day across the built-up area, a figure that, while low, remains a local benchmark for community awareness. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 185 residents — a monthly aggregate that provides context for residents assessing their personal risk exposure. When scaled to the area’s population of 14,647, this suggests a relatively stable crime environment compared to national averages, though localised fluctuations in specific crime types may warrant closer attention. The 26% gap between Churchdown’s rate and the UK’s 7.3 per 1,000 highlights the area’s broader safety profile, though certain categories like burglary (0.6 per 1,000) stand out as 100% above the UK average. This contrast underscores the importance of area-specific analysis, as national trends may not fully reflect local conditions.