Churchdown Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Churchdown recorded 91 crimes in October 2025, translating to a crime rate of 6.2 per 1,000 residents—19.5% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This figure places the area in the lower quartile of UK crime statistics, with a population of 14,647. The most significant contributors to the crime rate were violence and sexual offences (51 incidents, 56% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (13 incidents, 14.3%) and other theft (8 incidents, 8.8%). These figures suggest a localised focus on violent crime, which remains 32% above the UK average for this category (2.7 per 1,000). The seasonal context of October—darker evenings, the clocks going back, and Halloween—may have influenced patterns, particularly in public spaces. However, the absence of a corresponding rise in property crimes suggests that localised factors, such as community engagement or policing strategies, may have mitigated some risks. Churchdown’s position within Tewkesbury’s market town centre, with its higher foot traffic and retail presence, likely plays a role in the higher incidence of violent crime compared to the UK average. Conversely, property crimes such as shoplifting and vehicle crime remain well below national averages, reflecting the area’s relatively low levels of retail theft and vehicle-related incidents. This contrast highlights the importance of contextual analysis, as Churchdown’s crime profile is shaped by its proximity to a market town’s vibrancy, while its rural character may contribute to lower rates of certain property crimes. The overall crime rate, though modest, underscores the need for continued monitoring, particularly in violent crime categories, which remain a notable concern despite the area’s overall safety compared to the UK average.

October 2025 saw sharp month-on-month changes in specific crime types, with robbery, bicycle theft, and criminal damage and arson each doubling compared to September. This surge in property-related offences, including a 100% increase in bicycle theft, contrasts with a 50% decline in shoplifting and a 40% drop in public order offences. The latter reductions may be linked to heightened policing efforts around Halloween or seasonal retail adjustments. Violent crimes, particularly violence and sexual offences, remained significantly above the UK average (3.5 per 1,000 vs. 2.7 per 1,000), a discrepancy that could be influenced by local factors such as the area’s proximity to Tewkesbury’s market town centre, where higher foot traffic may contribute to such incidents. Conversely, shoplifting fell sharply to 2 incidents, a reduction that may reflect targeted interventions or seasonal retail patterns. These fluctuations illustrate the dynamic nature of crime in Churchdown, where specific categories can shift rapidly in response to local conditions, such as the timing of events or changes in community activity. The 100% increase in bicycle theft, for example, may be tied to increased cycling during darker evenings or the absence of dedicated bike storage in local areas. Similarly, the doubling of criminal damage and arson could reflect vandalism linked to seasonal events or youth activity in public spaces.

Churchdown’s crime rate in October 2025 rose to 6.2 per 1,000 residents, marking a 23.0% increase from 5.1 per 1,000 in the previous month. This shift, though modest, suggests a potential uptick in local activity or pressure on community resources. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 3 crimes per day, a figure that, while low, reflects the need for sustained vigilance. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 161 residents, a monthly exposure rate that, when scaled to the area’s population of 14,647, illustrates a manageable but non-trivial level of risk. This rate remains lower than the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, yet the increase in certain crime categories—particularly violence and sexual offences—raises questions about underlying dynamics. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Churchdown continues to be statistically safer than the UK average, but the rise in specific categories underscores the importance of contextual analysis. For instance, the proximity to Tewkesbury’s market town centre, with its higher foot traffic, may contribute to fluctuations in violent crime, even as property-related offences remain relatively low. These factors collectively shape the area’s crime profile, necessitating a nuanced understanding of local conditions. The seasonal context of October—darker evenings, Halloween activities, and the clocks going back—may have influenced crime patterns, particularly in public spaces. However, the absence of a corresponding rise in property crimes suggests that localised factors, such as community engagement or policing strategies, may have mitigated some risks.