Vale of Glamorgan Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2023, the Vale of Glamorgan recorded a crime rate of 6.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 14.7% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure reflects a continued trend of lower-than-average crime levels in the area, though seasonal factors likely influenced specific categories. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent crime type, accounting for 34.8% of all reported incidents, followed by shoplifting (14.8%) and anti-social behaviour (11.3%). The seasonal context of November—marked by dark evenings, Bonfire Night, and the Black Friday shopping period—may have contributed to fluctuations in certain crime types. For instance, the rise in shoplifting could be linked to increased retail activity, while the relatively low rate of burglary might reflect the area's suburban and coastal character, where property crimes are less concentrated. Despite the overall reduction in crime, the data highlights the importance of localised factors in shaping crime patterns, such as the proximity of retail hubs to high-traffic areas and the impact of seasonal events on public order. The Vale of Glamorgan's crime profile thus illustrates a balance between consistent low-level crime and periodic spikes tied to specific events or demographics.

The most dramatic month-on-month change in November 2023 was the 72.4% increase in vehicle crime, rising from 29 to 50 incidents. This sharp rise may be attributed to the start of the holiday season, with more vehicles on the road and increased opportunities for theft, particularly in areas with high commuter traffic or industrial zones. Conversely, bicycle theft plummeted by 83.3%, dropping from six to one incident—a stark contrast that could reflect heightened awareness or security measures around local cycling routes, or the impact of colder weather reducing outdoor activity. Shoplifting remained a persistent concern, with a rate 64% above the UK average, likely driven by the Black Friday shopping period. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences in the Vale of Glamorgan were 15% below the UK average, due to community-focused policing or the area's relatively stable social environment. Anti-social behaviour also saw a notable decline of 31.9%, linked to seasonal changes in public activity. These shifts underscore the combination of local initiatives, seasonal rhythms, and broader socioeconomic factors in shaping crime trends.

The crime rate in the Vale of Glamorgan for November 2023 decreased by 8.3% compared to October, falling from 7.0 to 6.4 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with broader patterns observed in similar coastal and urban areas during late autumn, where reduced daylight hours and colder temperatures may deter certain types of crime. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 29 crimes per day in November, a figure that, while relatively low, remains a key metric for residents assessing local safety. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 157 residents, a monthly exposure rate that provides context for the likelihood of encountering crime in the area. This statistic is particularly useful for prospective residents or visitors, offering a tangible measure of risk relative to the population. The Vale of Glamorgan's population of 135,743 means that the crime rate is scaled across a large number of individuals, which can dilute the impact of individual incidents. However, the comparison to the UK average and the month-on-month trends highlight the importance of monitoring local crime patterns, even in areas that generally report lower rates. The combination of population size, geographic diversity, and seasonal factors ensures that the Vale of Glamorgan's crime profile remains a dynamic one, requiring ongoing analysis and community engagement to maintain safety.