Vale of Glamorgan Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of the Vale of Glamorgan in October 2023 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property crimes, shaped by the area’s mix of urban and rural environments. With an overall crime rate of 7.0 per 1,000 residents—12.5% below the UK average—the area demonstrates a relatively safer profile compared to national trends. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (36.3% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (15.3%) and shoplifting (11.8%). This distribution suggests a combination of factors: the dominance of violent crime may reflect social dynamics in more densely populated areas, while shoplifting’s prominence aligns with the presence of retail hubs and high-traffic zones. Seasonal context adds nuance; as clocks go back and evenings darken, the increase in violent offences could be linked to reduced visibility and Halloween-related activity, which may contribute to higher incidents of anti-social behaviour. Meanwhile, property crimes remain lower than the UK average, with shoplifting being the only property category exceeding the national rate by 38%. This anomaly may indicate targeted retail vulnerabilities or specific local patterns, such as concentrated shopping areas with weaker security measures. The overall crime mix illustrates a combination of urban pressures and rural stability, with no single factor dominating the landscape.

October 2023 saw sharp fluctuations in specific crime categories, with robbery surging by 400% (from 1 to 5 incidents) and bicycle theft doubling (from 3 to 6). These spikes suggest possible seasonal influences, such as increased foot traffic during Halloween or heightened opportunities for theft in outdoor areas. Conversely, burglary fell by 34.1% (from 44 to 29 incidents), potentially reflecting improved security measures or reduced opportunities during darker evenings. Shoplifting’s 65.7% increase (67 to 111 incidents) stands out as the most significant month-on-month shift, which may indicate targeted retail areas experiencing higher pressure during the pre-Christmas shopping period. Vale of Glamorgan’s violent crime rate (2.5 per 1,000) is 7% below the UK average, while anti-social behaviour (1.1 per 1,000) is 14% below national levels. This contrast with shoplifting’s 38% above-average rate highlights a unique local dynamic: while violent and disorderly crimes are under control, retail-related thefts remain a persistent challenge. For residents, the sharp rise in shoplifting may signal a need for heightened vigilance in local stores during peak shopping months.

The Vale of Glamorgan’s crime rate in October 2023 (7.0 per 1,000) represents a 1.6% increase from September’s 6.8 per 1,000, indicating a stable trend with minimal month-on-month variation. Daily crime counts averaged 30 incidents per day, a figure that, while relatively low, underscores the need for consistent policing in high-risk areas. Over the course of the month, 1 reported crime occurred for roughly every 144 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is 12.5% below the UK average. This suggests that the area’s population benefits from a crime environment that is less intense than the national average, though localized pockets—such as retail zones—may experience higher concentrations of specific offences. The population context further reveals that, despite the 135,743 residents, the crime profile remains manageable, with most categories (excluding shoplifting) aligning closely with or outperforming UK benchmarks. The stability in overall crime rates, combined with the area’s lower-than-average violent crime figures, indicates a generally safe environment. However, the sharp rise in shoplifting and the doubling of bicycle theft highlight the importance of targeted interventions in specific sectors to maintain this balance.