Abercarn Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Abercarn's crime rate in July 2023 stood at 9.7 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 16.9% above the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000. This figure, while not unprecedented, reflects a combination of local and seasonal factors. The most common crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 47.2% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (20.8%) and public order offences (20.8%). These patterns are consistent with the area's character as a built-up district within Caerphilly, where population density and public spaces may contribute to higher rates of interpersonal crime. The seasonal context of July—peak summer, with schools out, tourism at its height, and festivals in full swing—likely plays a role in these figures. Increased foot traffic in public areas during this period could explain the surge in public order offences, while the absence of school holidays may reduce community supervision of youth, contributing to anti-social behaviour. Violent crime, which is 65% above the UK average, may also be influenced by the convergence of local residents and transient visitors during the summer months. However, the exact relationship between these factors and the crime data remains speculative. The relatively low property crime rate (5 incidents, 9.4% of total) contrasts with the UK average, suggesting that either local security measures are effective or that property crime is less prevalent in this area. This could be attributed to the nature of Abercarn's built-up environment, where commercial and residential areas may overlap in ways that deter certain types of crime. Overall, the data illustrates a snapshot of Abercarn's crime profile in a period of high seasonal activity, highlighting both areas of concern and potential opportunities for targeted interventions.

July 2023 saw a sharp rise in violent crime, with violence and sexual offences increasing by 47.1% (17 to 25 incidents). This category alone contributed 47.2% of all crimes, far exceeding the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000 (65% above). Public order offences also spiked dramatically, jumping 175% from 4 to 11 incidents—a figure that is 223% above the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000. Vehicle crime rose by 66.7%, from 3 to 5 incidents, a rate 88% above the UK average. In contrast, 'other crime' fell by 75%, from 4 to 1 incident, though this category's UK average is low at 0.1 per 1,000. The surge in public order offences may partly explain the overall increase in violent crime, as both categories are often linked to crowded public spaces. Residents might find the 223% discrepancy in public order offences particularly noteworthy, as it suggests local conditions are driving a significant divergence from national trends.

Abercarn's crime rate in July 2023 rose to 9.7 per 1,000 residents, a 39.5% increase from June's 7.0 per 1,000. This shift raises questions about local factors driving the upward trend. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly 2 crimes per day, a figure that, while not extreme, suggests a consistent presence of criminal activity. Monthly exposure provides further context: over the course of July, one crime was reported for every 103 residents, a ratio that, when considered alongside Abercarn's population of 5,442, highlights the need for ongoing community vigilance. This monthly exposure rate is higher than the UK average when scaled to the same population, though direct comparisons are not provided for this metric. The population context is critical here—Abercarn's relatively small size means that even a modest increase in crime can have a visible impact on residents' sense of safety. While no UK-wide daily or monthly exposure figures are available for comparison, the local data underscores the importance of targeted policing and community engagement in this built-up area.