Abercarn Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Abercarn in September 2023 reveals a distinct emphasis on violent crime, with violence and sexual offences accounting for nearly half of all reported incidents. This imbalance in crime types contrasts sharply with the UK average, where such offences make up a smaller proportion of the total. The area's crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 residents places it 6.2% below the UK average of 8.0, a figure that may reflect the area's built-up character within Caerphilly. While property crimes remain relatively low—only 5 incidents were recorded—violent crimes dominate the landscape, with 20 incidents reported. This pattern is consistent with the seasonal context of September, a time when the return to education and the transition from summer to autumn may influence local dynamics. The high proportion of violent crimes compared to other categories suggests a need to consider factors such as social cohesion, community engagement, and the availability of support services for vulnerable populations. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.7 per 1,000, meaning Abercarn's rate of 3.7 per 1,000 is 35% higher, a discrepancy that may be linked to local characteristics such as the density of the population or the presence of specific community hubs. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour and public order offences also exceed UK averages, with the former at 1.5 per 1,000 (12% above the UK average) and the latter at 0.7 per 1,000 (13% above). These figures may be influenced by the area's role as a built-up district, where shared spaces and higher population density can amplify certain types of disorder. The relatively low rates of vehicle crime—0.4 per 1,000 compared to the UK average of 0.5—suggest that the area's infrastructure or community policing efforts may be effective in deterring such offences. However, the sharp increase in 'other crime' and 'other theft' categories, which both doubled from zero to two and one incidents respectively, indicates emerging trends that warrant further analysis. These anomalies may be linked to seasonal factors such as the start of the academic year, which could bring new residents or shift patterns of activity in the area. Overall, the crime mix in Abercarn highlights a need for targeted interventions that address the root causes of violent crime while maintaining the positive trends in property-related offences.

The crime mix in September 2023 reveals a stark contrast between violent crimes and property offences, with violence and sexual offences comprising 48.8% of all reported crimes. This proportion is higher than the UK average for the same category, which stands at 2.7 per 1,000 residents. The increase in public order offences—doubling from 2 to 4 incidents—may partly explain this shift, as such incidents often precede or accompany more severe crimes. Similarly, 'other crime' and 'other theft' both saw 100% increases from zero to two and one incidents respectively, suggesting emerging patterns that could warrant closer attention. Vehicle crime, however, remained below the UK average by 17%, a trend that may be influenced by the area's built-up nature, where car theft is less common than in more sprawling or rural regions. The decrease in anti-social behaviour—down by 27.3%—could be linked to the seasonal context of September, as the return to school and university activities might reduce certain types of disorderly conduct. These findings illustrate the combination of local demographics, seasonal rhythms, and the built environment in shaping crime patterns.

Abercarn's crime rate in September 2023 rose by 24.3% compared to the previous month's rate of 6.1 per 1,000 residents, marking a notable shift in the local crime picture. Daily crime statistics reveal that, on average, one crime occurred per day across the 30-day period, a figure that may offer residents a tangible sense of the monthly rhythm of incidents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 133 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places the area's experience within a broader population context. This figure, while seemingly low, underscores the importance of considering both frequency and distribution when assessing local safety. The increase in violent crimes—specifically violence and sexual offences—contrasts with a decrease in anti-social behaviour, which fell by 27.3% from 11 to 8 incidents. These shifts may reflect seasonal transitions, such as the start of the academic year, which could influence patterns of behaviour in public spaces. The area's built-up character within Caerphilly likely contributes to these dynamics, where concentrated populations and shared community spaces may amplify or mitigate certain crime types depending on the time of year.