Abercarn Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Anti-social behaviour dominates Abercarn’s crime profile in November 2024, accounting for 36.1% of all reported incidents. With 13 cases recorded, this category far exceeds the UK average of 1.1 per 1,000, marking an 116% increase. The area’s overall crime rate of 6.6 per 1,000 residents places it 13.2% below the UK’s 7.6 per 1,000 benchmark, a consistent trend reflecting local policing strategies and community engagement efforts. Violence and sexual offences (11 cases) and vehicle crime (4 cases) follow as the second and third most common categories, though both remain below the UK average for their respective types. Seasonal factors likely contribute to these patterns: Bonfire Night on 5 November may have heightened anti-social behaviour in public spaces, while Black Friday shopping could have influenced vehicle crime rates. The low burglary and public order figures contrast with national trends, suggesting Abercarn’s built-up area within Caerphilly benefits from a stable, community-focused environment. However, the sharp rise in anti-social behaviour demands closer attention, as it may signal underlying tensions exacerbated by the month’s unique events. Local authorities may need to reassess resource allocation to address this spike while maintaining the area’s overall safety record.

Anti-social behaviour saw a 333.3% month-on-month increase, rising from 3 to 13 cases in November 2024. This surge, though unexplained by the data, aligns with the timing of Bonfire Night and the start of the festive shopping season, which may have increased public gatherings in the built-up area. Conversely, public order offences dropped by 66.7%, from 3 to 1, potentially reflecting reduced incidents during the month’s quieter evenings. Vehicle crime rose by 59% above the UK average, though its absolute numbers (4 cases) remain relatively low. Violent crime in Abercarn (2.0 per 1,000) is 22% below the UK average (2.6 per 1,000), a stark contrast to the 116% surge in anti-social behaviour. Residents may find the 1-in-151 resident monthly exposure rate useful for context, though the sharp rise in anti-social behaviour highlights a need for targeted community interventions. The data also shows drug-related offences fell by 50%, and burglary rates remained 35% below the UK average, suggesting effective local crime prevention measures are in place.

Abercarn’s November 2024 crime rate (6.6 per 1,000) represents a 50.1% increase from the previous month’s 4.4 per 1,000, indicating a notable upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 1 crime per day in November, a figure that, while low, underscores the sharp rise in anti-social behaviour. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 151 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Abercarn in a safer bracket compared to national averages. This figure is particularly significant when considering the local population of 5,442, as it suggests that the majority of residents are unaffected by crime on a daily basis. However, the 50% month-on-month increase raises questions about what might have shifted: the start of the festive season, increased foot traffic during Black Friday, or the impact of Bonfire Night. The contrast between Abercarn’s relatively low crime rates and the UK average highlights the effectiveness of local policing and community initiatives, though the recent surge in anti-social behaviour indicates areas for improvement. Residents may find the 1-in-151 monthly exposure rate reassuring, but the 333% rise in anti-social behaviour suggests that targeted efforts are needed to address this specific category.