Abercarn Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Abercarn's October 2024 crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 residents places it 45.7% below the UK average of 8.1, marking one of the lowest rates in the region. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 45.8% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour and public order offences at 12.5% each. This distribution contrasts with the UK average, where violence and sexual offences represent 25% of all crimes, indicating a higher proportion of violent incidents nationally. The seasonal context of October—characterised by shorter days and the Halloween period—may have contributed to the elevated share of violent crimes. Anti-social behaviour, which is 53% below the UK average, could be influenced by the area's community-oriented policing strategies or the relatively small population size, which may reduce opportunities for such incidents. Public order offences, however, slightly exceeded the UK average by 7%, a deviation that may reflect localised factors such as increased foot traffic in the area's retail zones during the month. The overall low crime rate suggests that Abercarn's built-up area within Caerphilly maintains a relatively safe environment, though the persistence of violence and sexual offences highlights areas for continued focus. This data aligns with the broader trend of lower crime rates in smaller, more tightly knit communities, where social cohesion may act as a deterrent to certain types of crime.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift occurred in violence and sexual offences, which rose by 37.5% from 8 to 11 incidents. This increase, though still below the UK average of 2.7 per 1,000, suggests a notable uptick in incidents that may relate to seasonal factors such as darker evenings. Other theft saw a 100% increase, rising from zero to one incident, a change that could reflect heightened awareness or reporting following local initiatives. Conversely, criminal damage and arson fell sharply by 75%, dropping from 4 to 1 incident, linked to targeted efforts or seasonal changes in activity. Vehicle crime also increased by 50%, from 2 to 3 incidents, which may be attributed to the area's commuter traffic patterns. These shifts highlight the dynamic nature of crime in Abercarn, with some categories showing marked changes despite the overall stability in the crime rate.

Abercarn's crime rate in October 2024 remained stable at 4.4 per 1,000 residents, matching the same figure recorded in September. This consistency suggests no significant short-term fluctuations in overall crime levels. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one reported crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that aligns with historical patterns for this built-up area. When considering monthly exposure, one crime occurred for roughly every 227 residents in the area, a ratio that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to Abercarn's population of 5,442. This monthly aggregate highlights that while crime remains low compared to the UK average, the impact is felt by a small but consistent proportion of the local population. The stability contrasts with seasonal patterns typically seen in October, such as increased anti-social behaviour due to darker evenings, though this did not manifest in Abercarn this month.