Bagillt Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Bagillt's crime rate in September 2023 stood at 8.8 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 10% above the UK average of 8.0. This figure, while not alarmingly high, reflects a combination of local and national trends. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 47.9% of all reported incidents. This dominance of violent crime may be linked to the area's seasonal rhythms—September, with its transition from summer to autumn, often sees increased social activity, particularly around university campuses and secondary schools. Anti-social behaviour followed closely, representing 20.8% of total crimes, while criminal damage and arson accounted for 8.3%. These figures suggest a pattern of disorder that may be exacerbated by the area's built-up character, where limited open space and high population density could contribute to tensions. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.7 per 1,000, meaning Bagillt's rate is 53% higher, a divergence that may be partly explained by the area's proximity to educational institutions and the associated transient population. Meanwhile, public order offences were 3% below the UK average, a minor but notable contrast that could indicate effective local policing or community engagement. The seasonal context of September—marking the start of the academic year and the gradual decline of summer evenings—likely influences these patterns, as increased foot traffic and social events may create opportunities for both violent and disorderly incidents.

September 2023 saw a 100% increase in bicycle theft, with one reported incident—a jump from zero in August. This spike, though small in absolute terms, highlights a previously absent category of crime. Concurrently, public order offences rose by 50%, and burglary increased by 50%, both from 2 to 3 incidents. These increases align with the seasonal context of September, a time when university freshers and back-to-school routines may heighten activity in public spaces. Violence and sexual offences—accounting for 47.9% of all crimes—were 53% above the UK average, a stark divergence that may reflect the area's demographic profile. Conversely, vehicle crime and other theft both declined, with vehicle crime dropping 66.7% to one incident. These decreases could indicate improved security measures or a shift in criminal focus. The data also reveals that Bagillt's burglary rate was 87% above the UK average, a figure that, while concerning, may be partly explained by the area's built-up nature and limited housing density.

Bagillt's crime rate in September 2023 rose to 8.8 per 1,000 residents, marking an 11.6% increase from the previous month's 7.8. This shift places the area 10% above the UK average, a deviation that, while modest, reflects localized patterns. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day over the 30-day period, a figure that translates to one reported crime for every 114 residents across the month. This monthly exposure rate, while not extreme, underscores the need for continued vigilance. The change in crime dynamics may be influenced by seasonal factors—September, with its back-to-school routines and university freshers' week, could have contributed to increased social interactions in public spaces. However, the absence of a UK-wide daily crime comparison means these local figures must be interpreted within Bagillt's specific context. Population size also plays a role: with 5,484 residents, the area's crime rate is amplified by the relatively small denominator, making even minor fluctuations statistically significant.