Bagillt Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

November 2024 in Bagillt presented a nuanced crime picture, with property and violent crime each accounting for 35.7% of the total 42 incidents reported. This balance between property and violent crime—a rare parity in the area—suggests a potential shift in criminal focus, possibly influenced by seasonal factors such as the darkening evenings of late November and the proximity to Bonfire Night, which may have deterred outdoor activity while concentrating incidents in more confined spaces. The overall crime rate of 7.7 per 1,000 residents placed Bagillt just 1.3% above the UK average, a marginal difference that could be attributed to the area's specific characteristics as a built-up district within Flintshire. Violence and sexual offences dominated the breakdown, with 15 incidents reported at 2.7 per 1,000 residents, 5% above the UK average for this category. This figure may reflect the presence of social hubs or areas with higher concentrations of transient populations. Anti-social behaviour, while lower than the UK average, accounted for 14.3% of total incidents, suggesting that local community dynamics or environmental factors are playing a role. The seasonal context of November—marked by events like Bonfire Night and the commercial rush of Black Friday—may have influenced both the types and timing of crimes, with public order offences rising sharply and shoplifting incidents remaining below the UK average. This interplay of factors highlights the need for targeted strategies that address both the immediate and underlying causes of crime in this part of Flintshire.

November 2024 saw a stark contrast in crime trends, with vehicle crime increasing by 200% from one to three incidents—a jump that may reflect heightened activity during Black Friday shopping or the movement of vehicles around local events. Simultaneously, violent crime fell by 21.1%, from 19 to 15 incidents, a decline that could be linked to seasonal factors such as shorter evenings and reduced social gatherings. The balance between property and violent crime remained equal at 15 incidents each, a rare parity that may indicate shifting patterns in criminal activity or community engagement. Other theft in Bagillt was 64% above the UK average, a disparity that suggests local conditions—such as the presence of retail outlets or unsecured properties—may be contributing to this category's overrepresentation. Meanwhile, shoplifting incidents, at 2.4 per 1,000, were 71% below the UK average, a figure that might reflect effective retail security measures or a lower density of high-footfall areas.

Bagillt's crime rate in November 2024 rose to 7.7 per 1,000 residents, marking a 7.7% increase from the previous month's 7.1 per 1,000. This rise, though modest, positions the area slightly above the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one reported crime per day over the 30-day period, a figure that, while low, reflects the concentrated nature of incidents in specific locations or times. When viewed through the lens of population, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 131 residents—a statistic that, while not alarming in absolute terms, underscores the need for vigilance in community spaces. This rate is lower than the national average when considering the proportion of violent crime, which in Bagillt accounted for 35.7% of total incidents, compared to the UK average of 34.3% for the same category. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the overall rate is marginally higher than the UK average, the distribution of crime types suggests a unique local dynamic, with public order and anti-social behaviour incidents contributing to the monthly tally.