Bagillt Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences emerged as the dominant crime category in Bagillt during October 2024, accounting for nearly half of all reported incidents. With a crime rate of 7.1 per 1,000 residents—12.3% below the UK average—the area continues to perform better than the national benchmark. This figure, however, masks a complex picture: while violence remains the primary concern, anti-social behaviour and other theft saw dramatic increases, suggesting a shift in the crime profile. The seasonal context of October, with darker evenings and Halloween activities, may have contributed to the surge in anti-social behaviour, though no direct causal link can be confirmed. Violence and sexual offences, at 3.5 per 1,000 residents, outpaced the UK average by 31%, highlighting the need for targeted interventions in this category. Anti-social behaviour, though lower in absolute terms, rose sharply, reflecting potential vulnerabilities in community cohesion or enforcement. The overall crime rate, while rising from 4.7 to 7.1 per 1,000 residents, remains a relatively low figure for a built-up area, consistent with Bagillt's status as a smaller, possibly rural-adjacent community. The interplay between seasonal factors and local demographics—such as the presence of residential areas versus commercial zones—likely influences these patterns, though further data would be needed to confirm specific geographic drivers.

Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile in October, comprising 48.7% of all reported incidents—31% above the UK average. This category saw no significant month-on-month change but remains a critical focus for local authorities. Anti-social behaviour surged by 700% compared to the previous month, rising from 1 to 8 incidents, a stark contrast to the UK average of 1.3 per 1,000. Other theft also saw a 400% increase, moving from 1 to 5 cases, placing the category 61% above the national benchmark. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson dropped by 50%, falling from 4 to 2 incidents—a shift that may reflect seasonal factors such as reduced outdoor activity following the clocks going back. Burglary, though still below the UK average, rose by 200%, indicating a potential vulnerability in property security during the darker autumn evenings.

Bagillt's crime rate in October 2024 rose by 50.0% compared to the previous month, moving from 4.7 to 7.1 per 1,000 residents. This shift underscores a notable uptick in reported incidents, though the area still maintains a 12.3% advantage over the UK average. On a daily basis, the 39 total crimes recorded over 31 days equate to approximately one crime per day, a figure that, while low, reflects the area's relatively sparse population density. When scaled to the local population of 5,484, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 141 residents—a statistic that contextualises the frequency of incidents within the community. This monthly aggregate suggests that while the rate is rising, the absolute number of crimes remains manageable for a built-up area of this size. The comparison with the UK average highlights Bagillt's continued performance as a safer-than-average location, though the recent increase deserves closer attention to emerging trends.