Bagillt Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The balance between property and violent crime in Bagillt during November 2025 reveals a stark contrast to national trends. With a crime rate of 5.1 per 1,000 residents, the area is 30.1% below the UK average of 7.3. This discrepancy is driven by the dominance of violent crimes, which accounted for 57.1% of all incidents (16 cases), compared to property crimes (5 cases, 17.9%). The prominence of violence and sexual offences—2.9 per 1,000, 13% above the UK average—suggests a complex dynamic between local demographics and environmental factors. November, with its dark evenings and Bonfire Night celebrations, may have amplified tensions in public spaces, though the absence of significant seasonal spikes in property crime is noteworthy. Anti-social behaviour, at 1.1 per 1,000 (21.4% of total), also exceeds the UK average by 4%, indicating persistent community-level challenges. The low incidence of burglary (0.2 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.2 per 1,000), both 33% and 50% below UK averages respectively, could reflect the area's compact, low-density nature, where informal social controls and limited commercial activity may deter such crimes. However, the absence of a clear seasonal pattern in property crime—despite Black Friday shopping activity—suggests that local factors, such as community engagement or policing presence, may be more influential than national trends. This data highlights a need for targeted interventions in areas where violent crime persists, even as the overall profile remains comparatively safe.

November 2025 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, particularly in vehicle crime, burglary, and criminal damage and arson, each rising by 100% from October. This surge in property-related offences, though still modest in absolute terms, contrasts with the sustained dominance of violent crime. The 16 reported violent incidents—57.1% of all crimes—were 13% above the UK average for violence and sexual offences (2.6 per 1,000), raising questions about local factors such as alcohol-related incidents during Bonfire Night or the impact of transient populations. Conversely, other crime fell by 50% (from 2 to 1 cases), suggesting a possible reduction in minor disturbances or improved reporting accuracy. The spike in vehicle crime, which rose from 0 to 1 incident, may be linked to increased shopping traffic during Black Friday. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson—jumping from 1 to 2 cases—could reflect seasonal vandalism associated with festive preparations. These fluctuations underscore the need for real-time monitoring, particularly as property crime rates, though low, show signs of volatility. Residents may find the 30.1% deficit against the UK average reassuring, but the concentration of violent crime highlights areas for targeted community engagement.

Bagillt's crime rate remained stable in November 2025 compared to October, with no change from the previous month's 5.1 per 1,000. On a daily basis, this equates to roughly one crime per day—a figure that, while not negligible, is far below the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 196 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is exceptionally low compared to national benchmarks. With a population of 5,484, this suggests that the majority of residents are unaffected by crime, though the 16 violent incidents still represent a significant proportion of the local population. The daily crime count, while a useful metric for residents assessing immediate risk, does not capture the full picture of long-term trends. For context, the UK's average daily crime rate is considerably higher, though precise figures are not available for this area. The stability in Bagillt's overall rate—despite fluctuations in specific categories—indicates a consistent level of policing or community resilience. However, the low incidence of burglary and vehicle crime, while positive, may also reflect underreporting or a lack of high-value assets in the area. These numbers provide a nuanced view of safety, emphasizing that while Bagillt is generally secure, the concentration of violent crime remains a focal point for local authorities.