Bagillt Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominate Bagillt's crime profile in October 2025, accounting for 35.7% of all reported crimes. With a total crime rate of 5.1 per 1,000 residents, the area remains 33.8% below the UK average of 7.7. This relatively low rate contrasts with national trends, particularly in categories like anti-social behaviour (17.9% of total crimes) and drugs (17.9%), though the latter is 221% above the UK average. The seasonal context of October—marked by shorter evenings and Halloween—may influence patterns of violence and public order incidents, which together make up 46.4% of all crimes. While property crimes remain minimal (3 total), the dominance of violent crime suggests factors such as local demographics or social dynamics play a significant role. Anti-social behaviour, though below the UK average, remains a persistent concern, with 5 incidents reported. The area's crime picture appears shaped by its character as a small built-up area within Flintshire, where community interactions and local events may amplify certain types of crime. The relatively low property crime rate may reflect the area's limited commercial presence compared to larger urban centres, though this hypothesis requires further data to confirm.

October 2025 saw a sharp 150% increase in drug-related crimes, rising from 2 to 5 incidents. This surge, coupled with a 100% rise in public order offences (3 incidents) and a doubling of robbery cases (1 incident), indicates shifting crime dynamics. Violence and sexual offences fell by 54.5% compared to the previous month, though they still constitute the largest single category (10 incidents). The drugs category's 221% above the UK average (0.9 vs 0.3 per 1,000) stands out as a stark contrast to other categories. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson dropped by 83.3% (from 6 to 1), a decline consistent with the seasonal transition into darker evenings. The area's anti-social behaviour rate (0.9 per 1,000) remains 29% below the UK average, suggesting local initiatives or community cohesion may be effective. Residents may find the 100% increase in public order offences particularly concerning, as these often involve alcohol-related disputes in local pubs and public spaces.

Bagillt's crime rate in October 2025 (5.1 per 1,000) marks a 37.8% decrease from the previous month's rate of 8.2, indicating a significant downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 1 crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may appear low but reflects the area's small population of 5,484 residents. When scaled to the population, this translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 196 residents over the course of the month—a rate that remains lower than the UK average. The contrast between Bagillt's drug crime rate (0.9 per 1,000) and the UK average (0.3 per 1,000) highlights a unique local challenge, while the area's anti-social behaviour rate (0.9 per 1,000) remains 29% below the national figure. This population-scaled perspective reveals that while Bagillt is safer than average in most categories, targeted interventions may be needed for drug-related crimes. The monthly exposure metric (1-in-196 residents) provides residents with a tangible sense of risk, contextualised against the area's demographic profile and geographic characteristics as a small built-up area within Flintshire.