Carmarthenshire Crime Rate

Carmarthenshire’s crime statistics reveal a complex picture. With a crime rate of 82.3 per 1,000 residents, the area performs slightly below the UK average of 91.2. While this may appear positive, a closer examination reveals a concerning trend of increasing crime, up 27.0% year-on-year. Violence and sexual offences represent a significant proportion of reported incidents, exceeding the UK average. Understanding these trends and the specific crime types prevalent in Carmarthenshire is essential for residents and stakeholders alike. This data, collected between February 2025 and January 2026, provides a snapshot of the area’s safety landscape and informs strategies for prevention and intervention.

Carmarthenshire, a county in southwest Wales, presents a unique blend of rural landscapes and established communities. The area’s diverse economy, encompassing agriculture, tourism, and light industry, contributes to its population mix and varied living conditions. Densely populated areas like Llanelli experience different crime dynamics compared to more sparsely populated rural areas. The presence of transport links and key infrastructure also influences the types of crime encountered, from vehicle-related offences to those associated with commercial activity. Understanding these factors is crucial to interpreting the area's crime statistics and developing effective prevention strategies.

Carmarthenshire's crime profile reveals a concerning prevalence of violence and sexual offences, accounting for 37.6% of all reported crimes (7184 incidents). Following closely is anti-social behaviour, representing 10.9% of incidents (1721 crimes). Criminal damage and arson also feature prominently, with 1612 recorded cases. While property crime rates are slightly below the UK average at 22.3 per 1,000, the high number of violence and sexual offences demands particular attention. Vehicle crime, while below the UK average, is a growing concern, increasing by 69.4% year-on-year. The high incidence of violence and sexual offences (37.6 per 1,000, 45.7% above the UK average of 32.2) highlights a critical area for targeted intervention and support services. The rise in criminal damage and arson (8.4 per 1,000, 28% above the UK average of 6.6) also warrants focused preventative measures.

Carmarthenshire has experienced a significant increase in crime, rising by 27.0% year-on-year from February 2025 to January 2026. Monthly data reveals fluctuations, with July 2025 marking the highest monthly rate at 8.1 per 1,000, and September 2025 showing the lowest at 6.0 per 1,000. This upward trend is concerning, particularly as several crime categories, including violence and sexual offences, have seen substantial increases. The rising rates of vehicle crime, criminal damage and arson, and anti-social behaviour contribute to this overall increase, requiring focused preventative measures and community engagement.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate of 82.3 per 1,000 residents places it between several neighbouring local authorities. Areas like Swansea (88.4 per 1,000) and Neath Port Talbot (83.2 per 1,000) have slightly higher crime rates, while Ceredigion (68.3 per 1,000) demonstrates a safer environment. Merthyr Tydfil, with a significantly higher rate of 111.2 per 1,000, highlights the considerable variation in crime levels across South Wales.

Traditional CCTV systems often provide a recording of a crime in progress, offering little preventative value. scOS, an AI-powered home security operating system, offers a proactive approach. Its multi-camera intelligence watches your property simultaneously, while DVLA vehicle verification instantly identifies suspicious vehicles. The visible deterrence of scOS, with its autonomous lighting and speaker systems, often leads potential intruders to reconsider their actions – preventing the crime before it even begins. Reading crime statistics like Carmarthenshire’s 27.0% year-on-year increase is one thing; actively protecting your property with advanced technology is another.

How To Keep Safe in Carmarthenshire

Given the increase in violence and sexual offences, it's crucial to prioritise personal safety. Firstly, be aware of your surroundings, especially when walking alone at night. Secondly, avoid poorly lit areas and stick to well-populated routes. Thirdly, consider carrying a personal safety alarm or whistle. Fourthly, secure your home with robust locks and consider a monitored alarm system. Finally, report any suspicious activity to the police immediately.